Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AERE-22
in Japan
06 Jul 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AERE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (07 Jul 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.7 m 281 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 94 km/h 1.7 m 580 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jun 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jun 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Jul 2022 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Hong Kong, China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 4 01 Jul 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Japan, China, Hong Kong, Macao, Paracel Islands
GREEN 5 02 Jul 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Japan, Hong Kong, China, Macao
GREEN 6 02 Jul 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan, China
GREEN 7 03 Jul 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Jul 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Jul 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Jul 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Jul 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 05 Jul 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 06 Jul 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina42,057 
100-250 mmChina, Russia, North Korea, Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia33,013,049
+
China27,627,011 
Russia8,705 
North Korea4,231,413 
Vietnam82,230 
Philippines1,059,757 
Malaysia3,931 
50-100 mmChina, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia162,249,525
+
China92,030,486 
Russia705,406 
North Korea13,950,189 
South Korea6,587 
Japan5,130,278 
Taiwan16,100 
Vietnam269,914 
Philippines50,075,933 
Micronesia9,468 
Palau21,148 
Malaysia34,012 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jun 2022 00:00 155 -
- - - - - South Korea, North Korea, China
Blue 2 30 Jun 2022 12:00 165 Few people
- - - - North Korea, China, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Blue 3 01 Jul 2022 00:00 196 -
- - - - - North Korea, China, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Blue 4 01 Jul 2022 12:00 212 280 thousand
- - - - China, North Korea
Blue 5 02 Jul 2022 00:00 257 2.1 million
- - - - China
Blue 6 02 Jul 2022 12:00 190 1.5 million
- - - - China, Japan, Hong Kong
Blue 7 03 Jul 2022 00:00 163 80 thousand
- - - - China, Japan, Taiwan
Blue 8 03 Jul 2022 12:00 147 3 thousand
- - - - China, Japan
Blue 9 04 Jul 2022 00:00 224 330 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Philippines
Blue 10 04 Jul 2022 12:00 173 140 thousand
- - - - Japan, China
Blue 11 05 Jul 2022 00:00 173 100 thousand
- - - - Japan, China, Taiwan, Philippines
Blue 12 05 Jul 2022 12:00 445 5.9 million
- - - - China, Japan
Blue 13 06 Jul 2022 00:00 291 33.1 million
- - - China, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC