Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for OCKHI-17 in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka from 29 Nov 2017 18:00 UTC to 05 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17

in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	78 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (05 Dec 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	78 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	77 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

77 km/h

Up to 5.4 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Iran, Pakistan, India	5,372,792	+
	Iran	219,670
	Pakistan	454,470
	India	4,698,652

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	141	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	30 Nov 2017 18:00	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 00:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 06:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 12:00	127	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Dec 2017 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Dec 2017 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Dec 2017 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Dec 2017 12:00	78	-		-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	30 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Dec 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Nalasopara, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Nalasopara	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Agashi	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Dongri	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Mahim	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Shirgaon	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Palghar	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 11:45	Malad	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Boisar	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Tarapur	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:30	Mumbai	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:30	Asumumbay	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Mandve	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Uran	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Trombay	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Taloje	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:30	Revadanda	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:45	Malyan	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:45	Murud	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:00	Alibag	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Gholvad	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:30	Srivardhan	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:30	Bankot	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:30	Kelshi	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 09:45	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Guhagar	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Boria	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Bordi	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Umbargam	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Maroli	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 08:15	Mirya	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 08:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 11:45	Daman	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 11:45	Udvada	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 09:00	Purnagad	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Purangad	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 04:45	Adiura	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 04:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 03:45	Pural	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 03:30	Devgarh	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 03:30	Achra	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 03:30	Malvan	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Delvada	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Rohisa	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 11:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 11:45	Mahuva	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 11:45	Kotada	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Vengurla	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Terekhol	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Chopdem	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Anjuna	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Marmagao	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Advota	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Chaudi	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Majali	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:15	Belekeri	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:00	Karwar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 12:00	Wadgam	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 12:00	Kambhat	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 12:00	Kavi	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 12:00	Sarod	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:15	Honavar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 06:15	Manki	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:30	Mavalli	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:30	Shirali	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:30	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:30	Bainduru	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Veraval	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:30	Chittadi	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 14:45	Ghogha	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 09:00	Bhagva	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 09:00	Olpad	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 15:00	Asarsa	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 15:00	Harinagar	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 15:00	Tankari	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 14:15	Dahej	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 05:45	Kundapura	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 09:45	Damka	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Udipi	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Chorwad	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:45	Mulki	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 20:15	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 20:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:30	Devipatam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:30	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:30	Tirupalakudi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:30	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:30	Irumeni	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:30	Pamban	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Mangrol	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Rameswaram	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 13:15	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 13:15	Madayipara	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 13:15	Madayi	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 13:15	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 13:15	Chirakkal	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.