Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIMI-21 in Australia from 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC to 18 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21

in Australia

18 Jan 2021 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	112 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (18 Jan 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	112 km/h	0.2 m	31 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	122 km/h	0.2 m	805 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	17 Jan 2021 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jan 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Jan 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Jan 2021 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	18 Jan 2021 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	18 Jan 2021 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	18 Jan 2021 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia	36,761	+
	Indonesia	81
	Papua New Guinea	32,012
	Australia	4,668
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	467,971	+
	Indonesia	23,109
	Papua New Guinea	226,246
	Australia	218,616

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	17 Jan 2021 00:00	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jan 2021 06:00	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Jan 2021 12:00	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Jan 2021 18:00	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	18 Jan 2021 00:00	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	18 Jan 2021 06:00	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	18 Jan 2021 12:00	332	40 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Halifax, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Jan 2021 12:00	Halifax	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 12:00	Cassady	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 13:00	Coolbie	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 13:00	Mutarnee	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 12:45	Lucinda	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 12:00	Cardwell	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 18:30	Pallarenda	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 18:30	Belgian Gardens	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 18:30	Townsville	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 18:30	Oonoonba	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 17:00	Moongobulla	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 17:00	Rollingstone	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 17:00	Kinduro	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 13:15	Lower Tully	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 13:15	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 07:45	Soeam	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:45	Sarire	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:45	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:45	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 07:15	Carmila	Australia	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 07:15	Flaggy Rock	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 07:15	Karumba	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Anansai	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Wendu	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Matara	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Urum	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Merauke	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Daub	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:45	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 15:00	Alva	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 01:15	Barattar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 01:15	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:15	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:15	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 06:30	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 06:30	Saibai	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 06:30	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 06:30	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 06:30	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:15	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 06:15	Dauan	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 15:45	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 01:15	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 01:45	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 08:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 14:00	Cluden	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 14:00	Oolbun	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:30	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:30	Kotad	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:30	Dumande	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 13:30	Innisfail	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Okaba	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 23:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Wamal	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Gelib	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Dokib	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 06:15	Banana Pocket	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 06:15	Lethebrook	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 06:15	Conway	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 06:15	Midgeton	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.