Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

14 May 2021 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	112 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.2 m (17 May 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	112 km/h	1.2 m	274 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 740 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India	736,056	+
	Afghanistan	22,489
	Iran	54
	Pakistan	673,384
	India	40,127

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	8,852,936
100-250 mm	India	28,982,441
50-100 mm	Pakistan, India, Sri Lanka	11,591,847	+
	Pakistan	85,194
	India	11,305,027
	Sri Lanka	201,625

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million		-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	884	37.8 million			-	-	-	Pakistan, India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.2m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2021 17:00	Kambhat	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 17:00	Kavi	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 17:00	Sarod	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 17:00	Wadgam	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 17:15	Tankari	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 16:30	Asarsa	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 15:45	Dahej	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 15:45	Harinagar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 15:45	Muler	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 17:15	Ghogha	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 15:15	Hansot	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 13:45	Bhagva	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:45	Damka	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:45	Olpad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:30	Surat	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:30	Jalalpur	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:30	Mahuver	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:30	Nausari	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:30	Navsari	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 15:00	Kotada	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 15:00	Mahuva	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:00	Dharasana	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:00	Valsad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:00	Bilimora	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 15:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 15:00	Jafarabad	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 13:00	Udvada	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 12:45	Daman	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 14:45	Rohisa	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 14:45	Dharabandar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 12:45	Maroli	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 12:45	Umbargam	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 12:45	Bordi	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 12:45	Gholvad	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 14:30	Delvada	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 14:30	Nawabandar	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 12:45	Malyan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 13:00	Sakhare	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 13:30	Tarapur	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 16:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 16:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 11:15	Mumbai	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 11:15	Asumumbay	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 11:15	Uran	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 11:15	Trombay	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 11:15	Diva	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 11:15	Taloje	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 11:45	Boisar	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 01:45	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.6
	15 May 2021 01:45	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.6
	17 May 2021 16:15	Kodinar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:45	Shirgaon	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:45	Palghar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:45	Mahim	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 01:45	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.5
	15 May 2021 01:45	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:45	Malad	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 11:00	Agashi	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 11:15	Nalasopara	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 16:30	Lodhwa	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 00:45	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:45	Dongri	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:45	Vasai	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:45	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 16:15	Veraval	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 16:15	Somnath	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 16:15	Sutrapada	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:45	Navghar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 15:15	Chorwad	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 10:15	Mandve	India	0.5
	14 May 2021 23:30	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.5
	17 May 2021 17:45	Shil	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 17:45	Mangrol	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 17:45	Gorser	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 18:00	Ratia	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 10:00	Alibag	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Karwar	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Belekeri	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Ankola	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Gokarn	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 09:45	Revadanda	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 09:45	Murud	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 09:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 10:45	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 10:45	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 10:45	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 10:45	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	17 May 2021 07:30	Srivardhan	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 07:30	Bankot	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 07:30	Kelshi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 18:00	Adodar	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 22:45	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 02:30	Kumta	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 02:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:45	Honavar	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:45	Manki	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:15	Mavalli	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:15	Shirali	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:15	Bhatkal	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Porbandar	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:45	Guhagar	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:45	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:30	Boria	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:45	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 02:30	Advota	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 02:30	Chaudi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 02:30	Majali	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:15	Bainduru	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:15	Chittadi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:15	Mirya	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 09:30	Vengurla	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 09:30	Terekhol	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 22:15	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 14:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 14:00	Devgarh	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 14:00	Pural	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:30	Purnagad	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Miyani	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 09:15	Chopdem	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 09:15	Anjuna	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:30	Kundapura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 13:15	Achra	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:15	Purangad	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 02:15	Madgaon	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 22:45	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:15	Adiura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 13:15	Malvan	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Lamba	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:00	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 09:30	Marmagao	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 09:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 09:30	Panaji	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 02:45	Agacaim	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:00	Udipi	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Kozhikode	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Beypore	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Chaliyam	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Tirurangadi	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Tanur	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Tellicherry	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Mahe	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Badagara	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Payyoli	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 21:15	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Cannanore	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Edakkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Madayi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Quilandi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Madayipara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 17:45	Aramda	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Okha	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 14:15	Madhi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:15	Mulki	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:15	Akri	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:30	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:30	Ormara	Pakistan	0.2
	17 May 2021 17:30	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 17:30	Salaya	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Ponnani	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Veliyangod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 21:00	New Kandla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 21:00	Navlakhi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 18:30	Kodigeri	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 18:30	Vedaranyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 18:30	Vedaranniyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 21:00	Jodiya	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Chervattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 18:00	Atirampattinam	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Dwarka	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:30	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 21:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Kadikkad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:45	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:45	Kumbla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Bekal	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:15	Cochin	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:15	Mattancheri	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:15	Turavur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:30	Jambura	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 16:30	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 16:30	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.2
	17 May 2021 16:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:45	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Sika	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Balaru	Pakistan	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 17:45	Mandvi	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Manattala	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Chavakkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Guruvayur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Chaughat	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 18:45	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:45	Alleppey	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:45	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:00	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:00	Melmandai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:00	Vembar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:30	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 22:45	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:45	Haripad	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:00	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:15	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:15	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Gurdim	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Guraim	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Dorri	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Pozm Tiab	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Machan	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Konarak	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:15	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:15	Chakicherla	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:15	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:30	Pomparippu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:00	Sikkal	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:00	Kilakarai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:00	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:00	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:15	Durgarajupatnam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:00	Irumeni	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:30	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:15	Khowr Rapch	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:15	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:30	Kereti	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:00	Miski	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Malan	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:15	Kayalpatnam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.