Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

16 May 2021 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Pakistan, India
Exposed population	1.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	140 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.3 m (18 May 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	140 km/h	2.3 m	193 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 1.4 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	1,425,120
Tropical Storm	Pakistan, India	44,789,536	+
	Pakistan	597,322
	India	44,192,213

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan
7	15 May 2021 18:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	176	1.4 million		-	-	-	-	Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	823,882
100-250 mm	India, Pakistan	17,594,401	+
	Pakistan	11,092
	India	17,583,309
50-100 mm	Pakistan, Nepal, India	37,751,784	+
	Pakistan	200,221
	Nepal	390
	India	37,551,171

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million			-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	315	1.6 million			-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	227	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 May 2021 18:00	159	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	443	18.4 million				-	-	-	Pakistan, Nepal, India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

2.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.3m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 00:30	Wadgam	India	2.3
	18 May 2021 00:45	Kambhat	India	2.3
	18 May 2021 01:15	Kavi	India	2.2
	18 May 2021 01:15	Sarod	India	2.2
	18 May 2021 00:45	Tankari	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 23:00	Ghogha	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 23:45	Asarsa	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 23:15	Harinagar	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 23:00	Dahej	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 22:15	Muler	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 20:15	Kotada	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 18:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 22:00	Hansot	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 18:45	Mahuva	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 18:00	Dharabandar	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 18:00	Rohisa	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 18:00	Jafarabad	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 18:30	Delvada	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 18:30	Nawabandar	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 21:15	Bhagva	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 21:15	Damka	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 21:00	Olpad	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 18:45	Kotra Nes	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 18:45	Dangarvadi	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 21:15	Surat	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 20:30	Jalalpur	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 20:30	Mahuver	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 18:45	Kodinar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:45	Nausari	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 19:45	Navsari	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 19:30	Dharasana	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 19:30	Valsad	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 19:45	Bilimora	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:15	Udvada	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:15	Daman	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Lodhwa	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 21:30	Veraval	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 21:30	Somnath	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 21:30	Sutrapada	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 18:45	Maroli	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 18:30	Umbargam	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 18:30	Bordi	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 18:30	Gholvad	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 21:30	Chorwad	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 18:30	Malyan	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 18:45	Sakhare	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 18:45	Tarapur	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 18:45	Boisar	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 13:30	Jodiya	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 18:30	Shirgaon	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 18:30	Palghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 18:30	Mahim	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 22:45	Mangrol	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 06:15	Chudeswar	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 06:15	Salaya	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 14:30	New Kandla	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 14:30	Navlakhi	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 22:30	Shil	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 19:00	Agashi	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 19:00	Nalasopara	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 13:15	Jambura	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 19:00	Vasai	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:00	Malad	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:00	Mumbai	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:00	Asumumbay	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:00	Uran	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:00	Trombay	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:00	Diva	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:00	Taloje	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Vengurla	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Terekhol	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 19:00	Dongri	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 19:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 07:00	Chopdem	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 07:00	Anjuna	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:45	Gorser	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Marmagao	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Panaji	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Agacaim	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Madgaon	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 18:30	Navghar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:00	Mandve	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 02:00	Karwar	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Belekeri	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Ankola	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Gokarn	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 08:15	Devgarh	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 08:15	Achra	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 06:45	Malvan	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:30	Gadechi	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:30	Okha	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:30	Aramda	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 05:45	Advota	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 05:45	Chaudi	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 05:45	Majali	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:15	Alibag	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 08:45	Revadanda	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 08:30	Pural	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 01:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Ratia	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 03:00	Murud	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 03:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:15	Kumta	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 18:45	Jaigarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 18:45	Mirya	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 18:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 02:45	Srivardhan	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 03:15	Bankot	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 03:15	Kelshi	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:00	Honavar	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:00	Manki	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:00	Boria	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 18:45	Guhagar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 14:00	Tuna	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 08:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:45	Anjanwel	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:00	Purnagad	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 08:30	Jhankhar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 08:30	Sika	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:00	Purangad	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 18:45	Adiura	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:00	Mavalli	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:00	Shirali	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:00	Bhatkal	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 00:45	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 00:45	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:00	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 00:45	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:15	Bainduru	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:15	Chittadi	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 00:45	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 01:00	Kundapura	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 15:00	Mundra	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	18 May 2021 15:30	Navinal	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 02:30	Adodar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 06:15	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 15:45	Bhadia	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 15:45	Mandvi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 07:30	Porbandar	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 04:15	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:15	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 04:00	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 15:45	Kattumavadi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 15:45	Atirampattinam	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 03:00	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 03:00	Melmandai	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 03:00	Vembar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:30	Miyani	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:45	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Kumbla	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:30	Lamba	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:45	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:00	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:00	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 03:30	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Bekal	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 15:15	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 15:15	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:00	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Cannanore	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Edakkad	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:00	Mahe	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:45	Kottapatnam	India	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
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