Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

16 May 2021 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	1.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	151 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.5 m (17 May 21:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	151 km/h	2.5 m	215 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 1.5 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	1,470,822
Tropical Storm	India, Pakistan	44,927,701	+
	India	44,207,583
	Pakistan	720,117

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan
7	15 May 2021 18:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	169	1.5 million		-	-	-	-	India, Pakistan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,273,586
100-250 mm	India, Pakistan	16,877,046	+
	India	16,749,920
	Pakistan	127,125
50-100 mm	India, Nepal, China, Pakistan	55,325,547	+
	India	54,778,970
	Nepal	116,838
	China	11
	Pakistan	429,727

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million			-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	315	1.6 million			-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	227	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 May 2021 18:00	159	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	193	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	457	18.2 million				-	-	-	India, Nepal, China, Pakistan

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

2.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.5m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 21:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2021 21:30	Wadgam	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 21:30	Kambhat	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 21:00	Kavi	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 21:15	Tankari	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 20:45	Sarod	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 21:30	Asarsa	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 21:00	Ghogha	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 21:45	Harinagar	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 21:30	Dahej	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 21:30	Muler	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 21:30	Hansot	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 18:00	Mahuva	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 19:45	Kotada	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 17:15	Dharabandar	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:15	Rohisa	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:15	Jafarabad	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 16:30	Delvada	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 16:30	Nawabandar	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 20:15	Bhagva	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 20:30	Damka	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 20:30	Olpad	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 19:30	Surat	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 16:45	Kotra Nes	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 16:45	Dangarvadi	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 20:00	Jalalpur	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 20:00	Mahuver	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 19:45	Nausari	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 19:45	Navsari	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 17:00	Kodinar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:15	Dharasana	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:15	Valsad	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Bilimora	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Udvada	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 19:15	Daman	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Maroli	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Umbargam	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Bordi	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 17:00	Gholvad	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 17:00	Malyan	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 19:45	Lodhwa	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Veraval	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Somnath	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Sutrapada	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 16:45	Sakhare	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 16:45	Tarapur	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 16:45	Boisar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 19:15	Chorwad	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 16:45	Shirgaon	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 16:45	Palghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 16:45	Mahim	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 16:45	Agashi	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 17:00	Nalasopara	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 22:00	Mangrol	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 11:30	Jodiya	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 15:15	Dongri	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 15:15	Vasai	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 15:15	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 15:15	Navghar	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Vengurla	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Terekhol	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:15	Malad	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:15	Mumbai	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:15	Asumumbay	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:15	Uran	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:15	Trombay	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:15	Diva	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:15	Taloje	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 21:45	Shil	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 11:00	Jambura	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Marmagao	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Panaji	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Agacaim	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:15	Madgaon	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 01:30	Chudeswar	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 01:30	Salaya	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:30	Chopdem	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:30	Anjuna	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:15	Mandve	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:30	Murud	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 06:00	Advota	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 06:00	Chaudi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:15	Srivardhan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:15	Bankot	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:15	Kelshi	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 12:00	New Kandla	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 12:00	Navlakhi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:00	Alibag	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:00	Revadanda	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 06:15	Majali	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 06:00	Malvan	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:30	Karwar	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:45	Guhagar	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:45	Anjanwel	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 18:45	Jaigarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 18:45	Mirya	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 18:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 10:30	Devgarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 10:30	Achra	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Belekeri	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Ankola	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Gokarn	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:30	Boria	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:00	Purnagad	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:00	Purangad	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:15	Adiura	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 21:30	Gorser	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:30	Gadechi	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:30	Okha	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:30	Aramda	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 10:15	Pural	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 14:45	Vijayadurg	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 08:15	Jhankhar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 08:15	Sika	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Kumta	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 23:30	Ratia	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:15	Honavar	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:15	Manki	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:30	Mavalli	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:15	Shirali	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:15	Bhatkal	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 11:30	Tuna	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Bainduru	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Chittadi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:15	Kundapura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:00	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	18 May 2021 22:45	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 12:30	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 06:45	Udipi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:30	Atirampattinam	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:45	Kattumavadi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:45	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:45	Manamelkudi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 01:15	Adodar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 23:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 03:45	Mundra	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 06:45	Mulki	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:30	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:30	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:30	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:45	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 12:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 04:00	Navinal	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:15	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:15	Melmandai	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:15	Vembar	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 15:15	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 15:15	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:00	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 01:15	Porbandar	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 11:30	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 06:00	Miyani	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 06:00	Lamba	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 04:00	Bhadia	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 14:30	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 14:30	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 17:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 07:30	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 06:00	Bhogat	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 05:45	Madhi	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 15:00	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.