Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan
14 May 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (17 May 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 1.1 m 269 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 3.7 m 920 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 2.4 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives2,435,737
+
Iran328 
Afghanistan249,097 
Pakistan1,043,963 
India1,122,566 
Maldives19,781 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 May 2021 06:00 83 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran, India
GREEN 2 14 May 2021 12:00 184 -
- - - - - Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia8,097,490 
250-500 mmIndia20,758,649 
100-250 mmIndia19,813,920 
50-100 mmPakistan, India11,231,971
+
Pakistan273,473 
India10,958,497 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 May 2021 06:00 194 1.3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 14 May 2021 12:00 956 48.7 million
- - Pakistan, India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Damka, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 May 2021 12:00 Damka India  1.1
17 May 2021 12:00 Surat India  1.1
17 May 2021 12:00 Jalalpur India  1.1
17 May 2021 12:00 Mahuver India  1.1
17 May 2021 12:00 Nausari India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Navsari India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Bhagva India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Olpad India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Dharasana India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Valsad India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Bilimora India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Dahej India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Harinagar India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Hansot India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Kotada India  1.0
17 May 2021 12:00 Udvada India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:00 Mahuva India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:00 Daman India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:00 Muler India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:00 Asarsa India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:00 Tankari India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:00 Ghogha India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:45 Maroli India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:30 Umbargam India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:45 Bordi India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:00 Gholvad India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:00 Jafarabad India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:15 Tarapur India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:15 Malyan India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:15 Sakhare India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:00 Boisar India  0.8
17 May 2021 12:00 Rohisa India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:00 Shirgaon India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:00 Palghar India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:00 Mahim India  0.8
17 May 2021 12:00 Dharabandar India  0.8
17 May 2021 12:00 Wadgam India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Kambhat India  0.7
17 May 2021 10:45 Agashi India  0.7
17 May 2021 10:30 Nalasopara India  0.7
17 May 2021 10:30 Dongri India  0.7
17 May 2021 10:30 Vasai India  0.7
17 May 2021 10:30 Mira Bhayandar India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Delvada India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Nawabandar India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Kavi India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Mumbai India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Asumumbay India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Uran India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Trombay India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Diva India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Taloje India  0.7
17 May 2021 10:15 Navghar India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Sarod India  0.7
17 May 2021 11:45 Malad India  0.7
17 May 2021 12:00 Dangarvadi India  0.6
17 May 2021 12:00 Kotra Nes India  0.6
17 May 2021 11:30 Mandve India  0.6
17 May 2021 09:00 Kodinar India  0.6
15 May 2021 02:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.5
15 May 2021 02:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.5
17 May 2021 10:45 Alibag India  0.5
15 May 2021 01:45 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.5
15 May 2021 01:45 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.5
17 May 2021 11:30 Revadanda India  0.5
17 May 2021 08:30 Lodhwa India  0.5
15 May 2021 01:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.5
17 May 2021 08:30 Murud India  0.5
17 May 2021 08:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.5
17 May 2021 08:45 Veraval India  0.5
17 May 2021 08:45 Somnath India  0.5
17 May 2021 08:45 Sutrapada India  0.5
14 May 2021 23:45 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.5
17 May 2021 09:00 Srivardhan India  0.5
17 May 2021 09:15 Bankot India  0.5
17 May 2021 09:15 Kelshi India  0.5
17 May 2021 09:00 Chorwad India  0.4
17 May 2021 03:45 Guhagar India  0.4
17 May 2021 03:45 Anjanwel India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Karwar India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Belekeri India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Ankola India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:00 Gokarn India  0.4
17 May 2021 03:45 Boria India  0.4
16 May 2021 22:00 Jaigarh India  0.4
16 May 2021 02:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.4
16 May 2021 22:00 Mirya India  0.4
16 May 2021 22:00 Ratnagiri India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:45 Shirali India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:45 Bhatkal India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:45 Bainduru India  0.4
15 May 2021 21:45 Chittadi India  0.4
17 May 2021 08:45 Mangrol India  0.4
16 May 2021 02:30 Kumta India  0.4
16 May 2021 22:00 Purnagad India  0.4
16 May 2021 02:30 Majali India  0.4
16 May 2021 22:00 Purangad India  0.4
16 May 2021 09:45 Marmagao India  0.4
16 May 2021 09:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.4
16 May 2021 09:45 Panaji India  0.4
16 May 2021 09:45 Agacaim India  0.4
16 May 2021 09:45 Madgaon India  0.4
14 May 2021 14:00 Honavar India  0.4
14 May 2021 14:00 Manki India  0.4
17 May 2021 08:30 Shil India  0.3
16 May 2021 14:15 Vengurla India  0.3
16 May 2021 14:15 Terekhol India  0.3
16 May 2021 22:00 Adiura India  0.3
14 May 2021 14:15 New Kandla India  0.3
14 May 2021 14:15 Navlakhi India  0.3
16 May 2021 02:30 Advota India  0.3
16 May 2021 02:30 Chaudi India  0.3
15 May 2021 21:45 Mavalli India  0.3
16 May 2021 09:15 Chopdem India  0.3
16 May 2021 09:15 Anjuna India  0.3
16 May 2021 21:00 Vijayadurg India  0.3
16 May 2021 21:00 Devgarh India  0.3
16 May 2021 21:00 Pural India  0.3
14 May 2021 23:00 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.3
16 May 2021 05:30 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.3
16 May 2021 05:30 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.3
16 May 2021 05:30 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.3
16 May 2021 05:30 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.3
15 May 2021 21:30 Kundapura India  0.3
16 May 2021 21:00 Achra India  0.3
14 May 2021 14:00 Jodiya India  0.3
16 May 2021 21:00 Malvan India  0.3
14 May 2021 22:45 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.3
17 May 2021 08:00 Gadechi India  0.3
17 May 2021 08:00 Okha India  0.3
17 May 2021 08:00 Aramda India  0.3
14 May 2021 14:15 Tuna India  0.3
17 May 2021 08:30 Gorser India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:45 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.3
14 May 2021 16:15 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.3
14 May 2021 23:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.3
14 May 2021 13:30 Jambura India  0.3
14 May 2021 18:45 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.3
15 May 2021 21:30 Udipi India  0.3
17 May 2021 08:30 Ratia India  0.3
14 May 2021 12:00 Akri India  0.3
15 May 2021 01:00 Mulki India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:00 Mangaluru India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:45 Mattancheri India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:45 Turavur India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:15 Cannanore India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:15 Edakkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:15 Dharmadam India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:15 Tellicherry India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:15 Mahe India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:15 Badagara India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:30 Payyoli India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:30 Nileshwar India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:30 Chervattur India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:30 Trikkaripur India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:30 Madayipara India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:30 Madayi India  0.2
15 May 2021 00:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
15 May 2021 00:45 Kumbla India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Kozhikode India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Beypore India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Chaliyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Tirurangadi India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Tanur India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Quilandi India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Talakkolattur India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Chirakkal India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Valapattanam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Azhikkal India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:30 Kasaragod India  0.2
15 May 2021 01:30 Bekal India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:45 Sika India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Kannapuram India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Cochin India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Ponnani India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Veliyangod India  0.2
14 May 2021 18:00 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
14 May 2021 18:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
14 May 2021 15:30 Thoothukkudi India  0.2
14 May 2021 15:30 Melmandai India  0.2
14 May 2021 15:30 Vembar India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:45 Salaya India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.2
14 May 2021 13:00 Mundra India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:00 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
17 May 2021 08:30 Adodar India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Kadikkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Suthri India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Alleppey India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Ambalapulai India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:30 Kodigeri India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:30 Vedaranyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:30 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:00 Navinal India  0.2
17 May 2021 08:00 Porbandar India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Manattala India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:30 Atirampattinam India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Chavakkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Guruvayur India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Chaughat India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:30 Haripad India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:30 Pappinivatti India  0.2
15 May 2021 02:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
15 May 2021 16:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
15 May 2021 16:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Talikkulam India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:00 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Bhadia India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:00 Kattumavadi India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Nizampatam India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Kottapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:45 Mandvi India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Chakicherla India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Malan Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 13:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 14:45 Manamelkudi India  0.1
15 May 2021 15:30 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
15 May 2021 15:30 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Kakinada India  0.1
15 May 2021 16:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Kayankulam India  0.1
14 May 2021 22:00 Karunagapalli India  0.1
17 May 2021 08:30 Miyani India  0.1
15 May 2021 15:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 12:45 Pentakota India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Vanak Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 18:15 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Tiruchendur India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Gurdim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Guraim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Dorri Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Machan Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Konarak Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Ullapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Pakala India  0.1
15 May 2021 16:15 Keti Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Bayahi Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 15:30 Brar Pakistan  0.1
15 May 2021 16:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
17 May 2021 08:30 Lamba India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
15 May 2021 15:15 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
15 May 2021 15:45 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Peddapatnam India  0.1
15 May 2021 15:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 14:45 Kilakarai India  0.1
14 May 2021 14:45 Muttupettai India  0.1
14 May 2021 14:45 Panalkkulam India  0.1
14 May 2021 14:45 Irumeni India  0.1
15 May 2021 15:15 Miski Pakistan  0.1
15 May 2021 16:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 12:30 Gollapalem India  0.1
15 May 2021 15:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Kereti Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 14:15 Ammapatam India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:00 Sikkal India  0.1
14 May 2021 14:45 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Akara Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
15 May 2021 15:30 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:15 Rameswaram India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:15 Kalpitiya Sri Lanka  0.1