Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

15 May 2021 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	112 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.6 m (17 May 16:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	112 km/h	1.6 m	315 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 230 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India	227,481	+
	Afghanistan	8,731
	Iran	18
	Pakistan	75,880
	India	142,851

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	5,114,031
100-250 mm	India	24,010,299
50-100 mm	Pakistan, India	19,683,027	+
	Pakistan	331,652
	India	19,351,375

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million		-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million		-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	776	29.1 million			-	-	-	Pakistan, India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.6m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 16:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2021 16:45	Kambhat	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 16:45	Kavi	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 16:45	Sarod	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 16:45	Wadgam	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 16:30	Tankari	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 17:00	Asarsa	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 17:15	Harinagar	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 17:00	Dahej	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Muler	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 17:15	Ghogha	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 16:30	Hansot	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 15:30	Bhagva	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 15:15	Damka	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 15:15	Olpad	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 15:30	Kotada	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 14:45	Surat	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 14:45	Jalalpur	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 14:45	Mahuver	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 14:45	Mahuva	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 13:30	Nausari	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 13:30	Navsari	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 13:30	Dharasana	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 13:30	Valsad	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 13:30	Bilimora	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 15:45	Jafarabad	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 15:30	Rohisa	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 13:30	Udvada	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 15:30	Dharabandar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 12:45	Daman	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:00	Delvada	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:00	Nawabandar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 12:45	Maroli	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 12:45	Umbargam	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:15	Bordi	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:30	Gholvad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 16:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 16:45	Dangarvadi	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 16:30	Kodinar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:30	Malyan	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:30	Sakhare	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:30	Tarapur	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 16:45	Lodhwa	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 16:45	Veraval	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:45	Somnath	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:45	Sutrapada	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 12:30	Boisar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 21:15	Chorwad	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:30	Shil	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:30	Mangrol	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Shirgaon	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Palghar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Mahim	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:30	Gorser	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 12:00	Agashi	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:30	Ratia	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 11:45	Nalasopara	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:45	Mumbai	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:45	Asumumbay	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:45	Uran	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:45	Trombay	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:45	Diva	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:45	Taloje	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:30	Malad	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 11:45	Vasai	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 12:00	Dongri	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 12:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 12:00	Navghar	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 11:45	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.6
	15 May 2021 11:45	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:00	Adodar	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 10:30	Mandve	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 11:45	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.6
	15 May 2021 11:45	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:00	Porbandar	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 11:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.5
	17 May 2021 23:00	Miyani	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 23:00	Lamba	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 09:15	Alibag	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 09:15	Revadanda	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 00:00	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.5
	17 May 2021 09:00	Murud	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 09:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 08:45	Srivardhan	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 23:30	Bankot	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 23:30	Kelshi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 23:00	Bhogat	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Madhi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 00:15	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 00:00	Guhagar	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 09:15	Vengurla	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 09:15	Terekhol	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Gadechi	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Okha	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Aramda	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:45	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:45	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:45	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:45	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	17 May 2021 00:30	Boria	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 09:15	Chopdem	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 09:15	Anjuna	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 23:45	Jaigarh	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 09:15	Marmagao	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 09:15	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 09:15	Panaji	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:30	Agacaim	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:30	Madgaon	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Karwar	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Belekeri	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Ankola	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Gokarn	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 19:00	Mirya	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 19:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 19:15	Purnagad	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 19:00	Purangad	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:15	Advota	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:15	Chaudi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:00	Adiura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:15	Majali	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 06:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 23:45	Dwarka	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 13:30	Devgarh	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 13:30	Achra	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 09:15	Malvan	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:00	Pural	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:45	Kumta	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:45	Honavar	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:45	Manki	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 00:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 22:00	Mavalli	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 12:00	Shirali	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 12:00	Bhatkal	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 12:15	Bainduru	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 12:00	Chittadi	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 00:00	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:45	Kundapura	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 00:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 06:15	Udipi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:15	Mulki	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:45	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 23:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Akri	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:30	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:45	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:45	Bekal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:45	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:15	Kumbla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Chervattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Madayipara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Madayi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Cannanore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Edakkad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Mahe	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Badagara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 22:45	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:30	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:30	Ormara	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:15	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Payyoli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:45	New Kandla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:45	Navlakhi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 05:45	Kodigeri	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 05:45	Vedaranyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 05:45	Vedaranniyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:45	Jodiya	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 21:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Balaru	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 10:45	Quilandi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 10:45	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 23:15	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 05:30	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mandvi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 05:45	Alleppey	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:15	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:15	Melmandai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:15	Vembar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 20:15	Jambura	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 11:15	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Turavur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:30	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:30	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:45	Beypore	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Tanur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Cochin	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 18:30	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:30	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:00	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:00	Salaya	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 05:30	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:30	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:30	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:30	Chaughat	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:30	Ponnani	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:30	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:30	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:30	Manattala	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:30	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:30	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 05:15	Haripad	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 22:30	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Kilakarai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Irumeni	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 22:30	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 17:00	Bhadia	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:30	Pomparippu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Sika	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Sikkal	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:45	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Chakicherla	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:30	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:30	Kayalpatnam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:30	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 11:15	Mundra	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.