Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan
17 May 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Pakistan, China, India
Exposed population 80 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.5 m (18 May 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 148 km/h 3.5 m 148 mm 1.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 3.7 m 920 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 80 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India81,999 
Tropical StormPakistan, China, India52,326,566
+
Pakistan268,175 
China9,687 
India52,048,703 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 May 2021 06:00 83 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran, India
GREEN 2 14 May 2021 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
GREEN 3 14 May 2021 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 15 May 2021 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran, India
GREEN 5 15 May 2021 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
GREEN 6 15 May 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Pakistan
GREEN 7 15 May 2021 18:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 8 16 May 2021 00:00 140 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 9 16 May 2021 06:00 151 Few people
- - - - India
GREEN 10 16 May 2021 12:00 155 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 11 16 May 2021 18:00 169 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 12 17 May 2021 00:00 176 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 13 17 May 2021 06:00 169 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 14 17 May 2021 12:00 158 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 15 17 May 2021 18:00 148 80 thousand
- - - - Pakistan, China, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia, Nepal, China39,103,955
+
India39,023,572 
China10 
Nepal80,371 
50-100 mmPakistan, India, China, Nepal110,887,736
+
Pakistan98,337 
India109,628,012 
China7,484 
Nepal1,153,901 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 May 2021 06:00 194 1.3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 14 May 2021 12:00 269 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 14 May 2021 18:00 274 5.1 million
- - - - India
Blue 4 15 May 2021 00:00 315 1.6 million
- - - - India
Blue 5 15 May 2021 06:00 227 -
- - - - - India
Blue 6 15 May 2021 12:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 May 2021 18:00 159 -
- - - - - India
Blue 8 16 May 2021 00:00 193 -
- - - - - India
Blue 9 16 May 2021 06:00 215 -
- - - - - India
Blue 10 16 May 2021 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 16 May 2021 18:00 251 -
- - - - - India
Blue 12 17 May 2021 00:00 204 -
- - - - - India
Blue 13 17 May 2021 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 May 2021 12:00 133 890 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 15 17 May 2021 18:00 213 39.1 million
- - - - Pakistan, India, China, Nepal




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

3.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.5m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 May 2021 00:00 Kambhat India  3.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Kavi India  3.5
18 May 2021 00:00 Sarod India  3.5
18 May 2021 00:15 Wadgam India  3.4
17 May 2021 18:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  3.4
17 May 2021 18:30 Mahuva India  3.4
18 May 2021 00:00 Tankari India  3.4
17 May 2021 18:30 Kotada India  3.3
17 May 2021 23:15 Asarsa India  3.2
17 May 2021 23:15 Harinagar India  3.1
17 May 2021 22:45 Ghogha India  3.1
17 May 2021 22:45 Dahej India  3.0
17 May 2021 23:15 Muler India  3.0
17 May 2021 22:00 Hansot India  2.8
17 May 2021 18:45 Jafarabad India  2.7
17 May 2021 20:45 Bhagva India  2.7
17 May 2021 20:30 Damka India  2.6
17 May 2021 20:30 Olpad India  2.6
17 May 2021 20:15 Surat India  2.3
17 May 2021 20:15 Jalalpur India  2.3
17 May 2021 20:15 Mahuver India  2.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Nausari India  2.1
17 May 2021 20:00 Navsari India  2.1
17 May 2021 19:00 Rohisa India  2.0
17 May 2021 20:00 Dharasana India  1.9
17 May 2021 20:00 Valsad India  1.9
17 May 2021 18:45 Dharabandar India  1.9
17 May 2021 20:15 Bilimora India  1.8
17 May 2021 20:00 Udvada India  1.8
17 May 2021 20:00 Daman India  1.7
17 May 2021 20:00 Maroli India  1.6
17 May 2021 20:00 Umbargam India  1.5
17 May 2021 19:45 Bordi India  1.4
17 May 2021 19:30 Gholvad India  1.3
17 May 2021 18:45 Delvada India  1.3
17 May 2021 18:45 Nawabandar India  1.3
17 May 2021 19:45 Malyan India  1.3
17 May 2021 18:15 Sakhare India  1.2
17 May 2021 18:15 Tarapur India  1.2
17 May 2021 18:45 Boisar India  1.1
17 May 2021 18:45 Shirgaon India  1.0
17 May 2021 18:45 Palghar India  1.0
17 May 2021 18:45 Mahim India  1.0
17 May 2021 18:30 Agashi India  0.9
17 May 2021 18:45 Nalasopara India  0.8
17 May 2021 22:00 Dangarvadi India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:00 Dongri India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:00 Vasai India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.8
17 May 2021 19:00 Navghar India  0.8
17 May 2021 22:00 Kotra Nes India  0.7
17 May 2021 19:00 Malad India  0.7
17 May 2021 18:45 Trombay India  0.7
17 May 2021 19:00 Mumbai India  0.6
17 May 2021 22:00 Kodinar India  0.6
17 May 2021 18:00 Asumumbay India  0.6
17 May 2021 18:00 Uran India  0.6
17 May 2021 18:00 Diva India  0.6
17 May 2021 18:00 Taloje India  0.6
17 May 2021 19:15 Mandve India  0.6
17 May 2021 21:30 Lodhwa India  0.5
17 May 2021 19:00 Alibag India  0.4
17 May 2021 21:30 Sutrapada India  0.4
17 May 2021 19:15 Revadanda India  0.4
17 May 2021 22:45 Somnath India  0.4
17 May 2021 21:15 Veraval India  0.4
19 May 2021 18:00 New Kandla India  0.4
19 May 2021 18:00 Navlakhi India  0.4
17 May 2021 19:00 Murud India  0.4
19 May 2021 21:45 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.4
19 May 2021 21:45 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.4
19 May 2021 21:45 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.4
19 May 2021 21:45 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.4
20 May 2021 00:00 Akri India  0.4
19 May 2021 17:45 Tuna India  0.4
17 May 2021 19:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
19 May 2021 17:45 Jodiya India  0.3
20 May 2021 01:15 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.3
20 May 2021 01:15 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.3
17 May 2021 22:45 Chorwad India  0.3
20 May 2021 01:15 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.3
20 May 2021 01:15 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.3
17 May 2021 18:30 Srivardhan India  0.3
20 May 2021 01:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.3
19 May 2021 18:00 Jambura India  0.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Gadechi India  0.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Okha India  0.3
17 May 2021 20:00 Aramda India  0.3
19 May 2021 23:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
17 May 2021 18:00 Bankot India  0.3
17 May 2021 18:00 Kelshi India  0.3
19 May 2021 22:15 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.3
17 May 2021 23:00 Mangrol India  0.3
19 May 2021 17:45 Mundra India  0.3
19 May 2021 17:45 Sika India  0.3
17 May 2021 21:00 Anjanwel India  0.3
17 May 2021 21:00 Guhagar India  0.3
17 May 2021 23:00 Shil India  0.3
19 May 2021 16:45 Navinal India  0.2
19 May 2021 17:00 Jhankhar India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:15 Salaya India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
19 May 2021 15:45 Bhadia India  0.2
19 May 2021 15:45 Mandvi India  0.2
19 May 2021 22:15 Suthri India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:00 Boria India  0.2
20 May 2021 15:45 Atirampattinam India  0.2
20 May 2021 16:00 Kattumavadi India  0.2
20 May 2021 16:00 Manamelkudi India  0.2
19 May 2021 22:30 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2021 23:30 Gorser India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:15 Jaigarh India  0.2
18 May 2021 15:30 Ratia India  0.2
20 May 2021 16:30 Kodigeri India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:45 Mirya India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:45 Ratnagiri India  0.2
20 May 2021 16:30 Vedaranyam India  0.2
20 May 2021 16:30 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
19 May 2021 22:30 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.2
19 May 2021 15:00 Dwarka India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:30 Purnagad India  0.2
20 May 2021 16:15 Ammapatam India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:30 Purangad India  0.2
18 May 2021 15:30 Adodar India  0.2
19 May 2021 22:45 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.2
20 May 2021 07:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
20 May 2021 07:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
19 May 2021 07:45 Miyani India  0.2
19 May 2021 07:45 Porbandar India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:30 Adiura India  0.2
18 May 2021 10:45 Thoothukkudi India  0.2
18 May 2021 10:45 Melmandai India  0.2
18 May 2021 10:45 Vembar India  0.2
19 May 2021 07:45 Lamba India  0.2
20 May 2021 05:45 Keti Pakistan  0.2
19 May 2021 14:30 Madhi India  0.2
20 May 2021 07:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
19 May 2021 14:15 Bhogat India  0.2
19 May 2021 19:30 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.1
20 May 2021 06:00 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
17 May 2021 21:30 Vijayadurg India  0.1
20 May 2021 07:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 07:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 16:45 Kottaippattanam India  0.1
17 May 2021 21:30 Pural India  0.1
20 May 2021 07:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
19 May 2021 19:00 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.1
20 May 2021 07:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 07:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Brar Pakistan  0.1
17 May 2021 21:15 Devgarh India  0.1
17 May 2021 20:45 Achra India  0.1
19 May 2021 22:15 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.1
18 May 2021 10:30 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
20 May 2021 12:45 Nizampatam India  0.1
20 May 2021 12:45 Kottapalem India  0.1
20 May 2021 13:15 Pentakota India  0.1
20 May 2021 13:00 Kakinada India  0.1
19 May 2021 07:00 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.1
19 May 2021 07:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 07:30 Karwar India  0.1
18 May 2021 07:30 Belekeri India  0.1
18 May 2021 07:30 Ankola India  0.1
18 May 2021 07:30 Gokarn India  0.1
19 May 2021 14:30 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
19 May 2021 14:30 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 12:45 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
19 May 2021 08:30 Tis Iran  0.1
19 May 2021 08:30 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
19 May 2021 08:30 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
20 May 2021 18:00 Tondi India  0.1
17 May 2021 21:30 Vengurla India  0.1
17 May 2021 21:30 Terekhol India  0.1
20 May 2021 13:30 Peddapatnam India  0.1
20 May 2021 13:30 Gollapalem India  0.1
18 May 2021 08:30 Chakicherla India  0.1
18 May 2021 08:30 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
17 May 2021 21:30 Malvan India  0.1
19 May 2021 14:30 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
19 May 2021 14:30 Miski Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 13:30 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
20 May 2021 15:15 Malan Pakistan  0.1
19 May 2021 22:00 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.1
19 May 2021 16:15 Kottapatnam India  0.1
18 May 2021 07:00 Kumta India  0.1