Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

17 May 2021 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	166 km/h
Maximum storm surge	3.0 m (18 May 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	166 km/h	3.0 m	303 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	122 km/h	3.1 m	1400 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India, Pakistan	39,460,525	+
	India	39,449,695
	Pakistan	10,830

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
6	16 May 2021 00:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
7	16 May 2021 12:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
8	17 May 2021 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	India, Pakistan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

1400 mm

Up to 101 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,200,148
100-250 mm	India	99,805,909
50-100 mm	India, China, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka	146,913,347	+
	India	146,696,644
	China	107
	Nepal	48,701
	Pakistan	103,510
	Sri Lanka	64,383

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	345	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	332	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 12:00	460	140 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	869	Few people		-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 12:00	352	620 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
6	16 May 2021 00:00	380	80 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
7	16 May 2021 12:00	421	30 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
8	17 May 2021 00:00	406	101 million			-	-	-	India, China, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 3.0m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 00:45	Wadgam	India	3.0
	18 May 2021 00:45	Kambhat	India	2.9
	18 May 2021 00:30	Kavi	India	2.9
	18 May 2021 00:30	Sarod	India	2.9
	18 May 2021 00:45	Tankari	India	2.8
	18 May 2021 00:15	Asarsa	India	2.7
	18 May 2021 00:15	Ghogha	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 23:45	Harinagar	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 23:45	Dahej	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 23:15	Muler	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 17:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 17:45	Mahuva	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 21:45	Hansot	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Kotada	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 17:15	Jafarabad	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 20:30	Bhagva	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 20:15	Damka	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 20:15	Olpad	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 16:45	Rohisa	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 16:45	Dharabandar	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 19:45	Surat	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 20:15	Jalalpur	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 20:15	Mahuver	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 20:15	Nausari	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 20:15	Navsari	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 20:00	Dharasana	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 20:00	Valsad	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Delvada	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:00	Nawabandar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 20:30	Bilimora	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 20:00	Udvada	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:45	Daman	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 19:30	Maroli	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Umbargam	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Bordi	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Gholvad	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 19:30	Malyan	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Sakhare	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 19:00	Tarapur	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 19:15	Boisar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 19:15	Dangarvadi	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 19:00	Kotra Nes	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 19:15	Shirgaon	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 19:15	Palghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 19:15	Mahim	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 13:00	Malad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:00	Mumbai	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:00	Asumumbay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:00	Uran	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:00	Trombay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:00	Diva	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 13:00	Taloje	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 19:00	Kodinar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 18:15	Agashi	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 18:15	Nalasopara	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 18:00	Vasai	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 17:45	Dongri	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 17:45	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 12:45	Mandve	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 18:00	Navghar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 18:45	Lodhwa	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 05:45	Alibag	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 05:45	Revadanda	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 06:00	Murud	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 05:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:15	Bankot	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:15	Kelshi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 05:30	Srivardhan	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 02:15	Guhagar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 02:15	Anjanwel	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 02:30	Boria	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 02:30	Jaigarh	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 19:30	Sutrapada	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 02:30	Mirya	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 02:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 02:30	Purnagad	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:30	Somnath	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:30	Veraval	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 02:45	Purangad	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 02:30	Adiura	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 20:45	Chorwad	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 02:45	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 02:45	Pural	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 03:00	Devgarh	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 19:15	New Kandla	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 19:15	Navlakhi	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 00:00	Akri	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 03:15	Achra	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 02:45	Vengurla	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 02:45	Terekhol	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 00:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 19:00	Tuna	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 19:00	Jodiya	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Malvan	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:45	Jambura	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 15:45	Aramda	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 18:30	Mundra	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 21:15	Mangrol	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 18:30	Sika	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 19:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 19:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:45	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:45	Salaya	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Chopdem	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Anjuna	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 18:30	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 18:30	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:45	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 18:15	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 18:30	Navinal	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 01:15	Shil	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:30	Mandvi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:30	Bhadia	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 10:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 10:15	Okha	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 23:15	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Karwar	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Belekeri	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Ankola	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Gokarn	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 02:45	Marmagao	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 02:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 02:45	Panaji	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:00	Gorser	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:00	Ratia	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Manki	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 07:00	Adodar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 07:15	Porbandar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 23:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 07:15	Miyani	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:30	Advota	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:30	Chaudi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 23:00	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 07:45	Lamba	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 03:00	Mavalli	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:00	Madhi	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 03:00	Majali	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:00	Bhogat	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:45	Shirali	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:45	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:45	Bainduru	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:45	Chittadi	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 23:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 23:00	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:45	Kundapura	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:15	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:15	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 12:45	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 12:30	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 23:45	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 23:45	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 00:00	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 12:15	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 20:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:00	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 23:45	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 23:45	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 23:45	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 23:45	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:00	Ormara	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 03:45	Udipi	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 19:45	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:30	Peddapatnam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:30	Gollapalem	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 23:45	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 00:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 00:00	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 00:00	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:30	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:45	Pentakota	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 15:45	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.