Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan
18 May 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Afghanistan, India, Maldives
Exposed population 4 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.1 m (18 May 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 122 km/h 3.1 m 1400 mm 1.5
ECMWF Overall 122 km/h 3.1 m 1400 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

Up to 4 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India3,658 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, India, Maldives23,925,229
+
Afghanistan4,016 
India23,891,944 
Maldives29,269 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 May 2021 12:00 65 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 14 May 2021 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, India, Maldives
GREEN 3 14 May 2021 12:00 94 -
- - - - - India, Maldives
GREEN 4 15 May 2021 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 15 May 2021 12:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 16 May 2021 00:00 151 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 16 May 2021 12:00 180 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 8 17 May 2021 00:00 166 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 9 17 May 2021 12:00 162 4 thousand
- - - - India
GREEN 10 18 May 2021 00:00 94 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia, Nepal42,010,487
+
India42,010,483 
Nepal04 
100-250 mmIndia, China, Nepal180,358,062
+
India177,737,827 
China105 
Nepal2,620,128 
50-100 mmPakistan, India, China, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Maldives185,898,020
+
Pakistan47,852 
India172,417,892 
China14,448 
Nepal3,233,836 
Sri Lanka10,149,967 
Maldives34,023 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 May 2021 12:00 345 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 14 May 2021 00:00 332 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 14 May 2021 12:00 460 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 15 May 2021 00:00 869 Few people
- - - - India
Blue 5 15 May 2021 12:00 352 620 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 16 May 2021 00:00 380 80 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 7 16 May 2021 12:00 421 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 8 17 May 2021 00:00 303 2 million
- - - - India
Blue 9 17 May 2021 12:00 268 21.6 million
- - - - India
Blue 10 18 May 2021 00:00 324 100.9 million
- - - China, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

3.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.1m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
3.0 - 5.0 mIndia69,191 
2.0 - 3.0 mIndia437,069 
1.0 - 2.0 mIndia353,116 
0.5 - 1.0 mIndia2,863,333 
0.25 - 0.5 mPakistan, India, Sri Lanka490,308
+
Pakistan2,485 
India448,163 
Sri Lanka39,659 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 May 2021 02:00 Wadgam India  3.1
18 May 2021 02:00 Kambhat India  3.1
18 May 2021 02:45 Kavi India  3.0
18 May 2021 02:45 Sarod India  3.0
18 May 2021 02:15 Tankari India  3.0
18 May 2021 01:15 Ghogha India  3.0
18 May 2021 01:15 Asarsa India  2.9
18 May 2021 01:00 Harinagar India  2.9
17 May 2021 18:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  2.9
17 May 2021 18:15 Mahuva India  2.9
18 May 2021 01:00 Dahej India  2.8
18 May 2021 01:00 Muler India  2.8
17 May 2021 18:45 Kotada India  2.7
18 May 2021 00:30 Hansot India  2.6
17 May 2021 23:15 Bhagva India  2.4
17 May 2021 23:00 Damka India  2.3
17 May 2021 23:15 Olpad India  2.3
17 May 2021 18:00 Jafarabad India  2.2
17 May 2021 22:30 Surat India  2.0
17 May 2021 21:00 Jalalpur India  2.0
17 May 2021 21:00 Mahuver India  2.0
17 May 2021 21:00 Nausari India  1.8
17 May 2021 21:00 Navsari India  1.8
17 May 2021 20:45 Dharasana India  1.7
17 May 2021 20:45 Valsad India  1.7
17 May 2021 21:15 Bilimora India  1.6
17 May 2021 20:45 Udvada India  1.6
17 May 2021 19:00 Rohisa India  1.5
17 May 2021 20:30 Daman India  1.5
17 May 2021 19:00 Dharabandar India  1.5
17 May 2021 20:30 Maroli India  1.4
17 May 2021 20:00 Umbargam India  1.3
17 May 2021 19:45 Bordi India  1.3
17 May 2021 19:45 Gholvad India  1.3
17 May 2021 19:45 Malyan India  1.3
17 May 2021 19:30 Sakhare India  1.2
17 May 2021 19:30 Tarapur India  1.1
17 May 2021 19:30 Boisar India  1.1
17 May 2021 19:15 Delvada India  1.0
17 May 2021 19:15 Nawabandar India  1.0
17 May 2021 19:15 Shirgaon India  1.0
17 May 2021 19:15 Palghar India  1.0
17 May 2021 19:15 Mahim India  1.0
17 May 2021 15:30 Nalasopara India  0.9
17 May 2021 15:30 Agashi India  0.9
17 May 2021 15:30 Dongri India  0.9
17 May 2021 15:30 Vasai India  0.9
17 May 2021 15:30 Mira Bhayandar India  0.9
17 May 2021 15:30 Navghar India  0.9
17 May 2021 11:45 Mumbai India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:45 Asumumbay India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:45 Uran India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:45 Trombay India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:45 Diva India  0.8
17 May 2021 11:45 Taloje India  0.8
17 May 2021 15:30 Malad India  0.8
15 May 2021 20:45 Karwar India  0.8
15 May 2021 20:45 Belekeri India  0.8
15 May 2021 20:45 Ankola India  0.8
15 May 2021 20:45 Gokarn India  0.8
16 May 2021 08:00 Vengurla India  0.8
16 May 2021 08:00 Terekhol India  0.8
15 May 2021 20:30 Kumta India  0.7
16 May 2021 07:00 Marmagao India  0.7
16 May 2021 07:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.7
16 May 2021 07:00 Panaji India  0.7
16 May 2021 07:00 Agacaim India  0.7
16 May 2021 07:00 Madgaon India  0.7
17 May 2021 19:30 Dangarvadi India  0.7
17 May 2021 11:00 Mandve India  0.7
15 May 2021 20:15 Honavar India  0.7
15 May 2021 20:15 Manki India  0.7
16 May 2021 08:00 Chopdem India  0.7
16 May 2021 08:00 Anjuna India  0.7
15 May 2021 20:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.6
17 May 2021 19:15 Kotra Nes India  0.6
17 May 2021 05:45 Alibag India  0.6
17 May 2021 05:45 Revadanda India  0.6
16 May 2021 04:15 Advota India  0.6
16 May 2021 04:15 Chaudi India  0.6
16 May 2021 04:15 Majali India  0.6
15 May 2021 20:00 Mavalli India  0.6
15 May 2021 20:00 Shirali India  0.6
15 May 2021 20:00 Bhatkal India  0.6
17 May 2021 06:00 Murud India  0.6
17 May 2021 05:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.6
17 May 2021 02:15 Bankot India  0.6
17 May 2021 02:15 Kelshi India  0.6
16 May 2021 07:45 Malvan India  0.6
15 May 2021 21:00 Bainduru India  0.6
15 May 2021 21:15 Chittadi India  0.6
17 May 2021 05:30 Srivardhan India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:15 Guhagar India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:15 Anjanwel India  0.5
15 May 2021 21:15 Kundapura India  0.5
16 May 2021 10:15 Devgarh India  0.5
16 May 2021 10:15 Achra India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:30 Boria India  0.5
16 May 2021 09:45 Vijayadurg India  0.5
16 May 2021 09:45 Pural India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:30 Jaigarh India  0.5
17 May 2021 19:15 Kodinar India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:30 Mirya India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:30 Ratnagiri India  0.5
15 May 2021 20:45 Udipi India  0.4
15 May 2021 02:45 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 02:45 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.4
17 May 2021 02:30 Purnagad India  0.4
16 May 2021 10:30 Adiura India  0.4
15 May 2021 02:30 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 02:30 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 19:45 Purangad India  0.4
15 May 2021 02:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.4
13 May 2021 20:45 New Kandla India  0.4
13 May 2021 20:45 Navlakhi India  0.4
20 May 2021 19:30 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.4
20 May 2021 19:30 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.4
20 May 2021 19:30 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.4
20 May 2021 19:30 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.4
14 May 2021 17:30 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 20:15 Mulki India  0.4
17 May 2021 19:00 Lodhwa India  0.3
13 May 2021 20:15 Tuna India  0.3
13 May 2021 20:15 Jodiya India  0.3
20 May 2021 01:15 Akri India  0.3
15 May 2021 04:00 Mangaluru India  0.3
15 May 2021 04:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.3
17 May 2021 19:15 Sutrapada India  0.3
13 May 2021 19:45 Jambura India  0.3
20 May 2021 09:15 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:30 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.3
13 May 2021 21:45 Thoothukkudi India  0.3
13 May 2021 21:45 Melmandai India  0.3
13 May 2021 21:45 Vembar India  0.3
15 May 2021 04:15 Kumbla India  0.3
17 May 2021 19:15 Somnath India  0.3
14 May 2021 17:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.3
17 May 2021 19:15 Veraval India  0.3
15 May 2021 03:45 Kasaragod India  0.3
15 May 2021 03:45 Bekal India  0.3
17 May 2021 19:30 Chorwad India  0.3
15 May 2021 03:30 Nileshwar India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:15 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.2
14 May 2021 18:00 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.2
15 May 2021 04:30 Edakkad India  0.2
15 May 2021 04:30 Dharmadam India  0.2
15 May 2021 04:30 Tellicherry India  0.2
15 May 2021 04:30 Mahe India  0.2
15 May 2021 04:30 Badagara India  0.2
15 May 2021 04:30 Payyoli India  0.2
13 May 2021 19:30 Mundra India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Madayi India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Kannapuram India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Chirakkal India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Valapattanam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Azhikkal India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Cannanore India  0.2
13 May 2021 18:30 Jhankhar India  0.2
13 May 2021 18:30 Sika India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Madayipara India  0.2
15 May 2021 03:30 Chervattur India  0.2
15 May 2021 03:30 Trikkaripur India  0.2
13 May 2021 18:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
13 May 2021 18:45 Salaya India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
20 May 2021 04:30 Navinal India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:15 Aramda India  0.2
15 May 2021 04:15 Quilandi India  0.2
14 May 2021 10:45 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.2
19 May 2021 16:00 Mandvi India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:00 Bhadia India  0.2
17 May 2021 10:15 Gadechi India  0.2
17 May 2021 10:15 Okha India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:00 Suthri India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Talakkolattur India  0.2
17 May 2021 23:45 Mangrol India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Kozhikode India  0.2
17 May 2021 23:45 Shil India  0.2
13 May 2021 15:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
13 May 2021 15:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Beypore India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Chaliyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Tirurangadi India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Tanur India  0.2
18 May 2021 19:15 Gorser India  0.2
18 May 2021 15:30 Ratia India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
13 May 2021 16:15 Keti Pakistan  0.2
13 May 2021 14:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Kodigeri India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Vedaranyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 04:30 Kayalpatnam India  0.2
13 May 2021 16:30 Jhol Pakistan  0.2
19 May 2021 16:15 Dwarka India  0.2
13 May 2021 14:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.2
13 May 2021 14:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.2
13 May 2021 15:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
19 May 2021 07:30 Adodar India  0.2
14 May 2021 10:45 Kattumavadi India  0.2
14 May 2021 10:45 Atirampattinam India  0.2
14 May 2021 10:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
14 May 2021 10:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
19 May 2021 08:15 Porbandar India  0.2
13 May 2021 20:45 Sikkal India  0.2
13 May 2021 20:45 Kilakarai India  0.2
13 May 2021 20:45 Muttupettai India  0.2
13 May 2021 20:45 Panalkkulam India  0.2
19 May 2021 08:15 Miyani India  0.2
19 May 2021 08:30 Lamba India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:15 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.2
13 May 2021 20:45 Irumeni India  0.1
13 May 2021 21:45 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.1
13 May 2021 15:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
13 May 2021 15:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
19 May 2021 15:15 Madhi India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:30 Ponnani India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:30 Veliyangod India  0.1
19 May 2021 14:45 Bhogat India  0.1
14 May 2021 10:45 Manamelkudi India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Nizampatam India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Kottapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Mattancheri India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Turavur India  0.1
13 May 2021 14:30 Brar Pakistan  0.1
13 May 2021 15:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Cochin India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Gurdim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Guraim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Dorri Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Machan Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Konarak Iran  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
14 May 2021 04:15 Tiruchendur India  0.1
13 May 2021 14:15 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
13 May 2021 14:15 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
13 May 2021 14:30 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
13 May 2021 14:30 Miski Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 10:30 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 20:30 Pappinivatti India  0.1
14 May 2021 11:45 Kadikkad India  0.1
14 May 2021 11:45 Manattala India  0.1
14 May 2021 11:45 Chavakkad India  0.1
14 May 2021 11:45 Guruvayur India  0.1
14 May 2021 11:45 Chaughat India  0.1
14 May 2021 11:45 Talikkulam India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 'Urf Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
13 May 2021 17:00 Ghalat Oman  0.1
13 May 2021 17:00 Sharkh Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Alleppey India  0.1
13 May 2021 16:00 Malan Pakistan  0.1
13 May 2021 21:30 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Pentakota India  0.1
20 May 2021 15:15 Kottapatnam India  0.1
20 May 2021 17:15 Ammapatam India  0.1
13 May 2021 15:30 Tis Iran  0.1
13 May 2021 15:30 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
13 May 2021 15:30 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Peddapatnam India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Kakinada India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:15 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
15 May 2021 09:15 Kereti Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 09:15 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Vanak Iran  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Akara Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:30 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:15 Ullapalem India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:15 Pakala India  0.1