Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number: TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population 450 thousand in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (05 Feb 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
05 Feb 2022 00:00 - 05 Feb 2022 12:00

in Madagascar
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind (10-min*) Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 185 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 194 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h)
(10-min*)
Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 56 No people No people
Green 2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 120 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 120 20 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 93 No people No people
Green 5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 167 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 139 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 102 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 111 1.3 million No people Mauritius
Orange 9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 130 1.3 million 1.1 million Mauritius
Green 10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 130 1.9 million 30 thousand Mauritius
Green 11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 130 1.1 million No people Mauritius
Green 12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 130 1.7 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 185 140 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 167 440 thousand No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 15 30 Jan 2022 00:00 167 80 thousand No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 16 30 Jan 2022 06:00 176 No people No people
Green 17 30 Jan 2022 12:00 176 No people No people
Green 18 30 Jan 2022 18:00 204 2.3 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Green 19 31 Jan 2022 00:00 213 11.6 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
Green 20 31 Jan 2022 06:00 204 11.4 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Green 21 31 Jan 2022 12:00 204 9 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Orange 22 31 Jan 2022 18:00 176 12.1 million 90 thousand Madagascar
Orange 23 01 Feb 2022 00:00 167 13.4 million 710 thousand Madagascar
Orange 24 01 Feb 2022 06:00 185 15.3 million 1.5 million Madagascar
Orange 25 01 Feb 2022 12:00 176 15.4 million 830 thousand Madagascar
Orange 26 01 Feb 2022 18:00 185 17.6 million 840 thousand Madagascar
Red 27 02 Feb 2022 00:00 185 18.3 million 2 million Madagascar
Red 28 02 Feb 2022 06:00 185 17.3 million 1.9 million Madagascar
Red 29 02 Feb 2022 12:00 185 17.7 million 910 thousand Madagascar
Red 30 02 Feb 2022 18:00 185 18.1 million 1.8 million Madagascar
Red 31 03 Feb 2022 00:00 185 19 million 450 thousand Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
(10-min*)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -14.9, 86.6
GREEN
2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.7, 85.3
GREEN
3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -16.4, 83.6
GREEN
4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.9, 81.8
GREEN
5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -17.9, 79.6
GREEN
6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -18, 77.5
GREEN
7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -18, 76
GREEN
8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.2, 74.6
GREEN
9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.3, 73.6
GREEN
10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.4, 72.6
GREEN
11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.4, 71.8
GREEN
12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.1, 70.6
GREEN
13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -17.9, 69.9
GREEN
14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.7, 69.1
GREEN
15 30 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.5, 68.1
GREEN
16 30 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.1, 67
GREEN
17 30 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.8, 66.1
GREEN
18 30 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.6, 65.1
GREEN
19 31 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.4, 64.5
GREEN
20 31 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -15.8, 63.9
GREEN
21 31 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -15.9, 63.2
GREEN
22 31 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -16, 63
GREEN
23 01 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -16.5, 62.3
GREEN
24 01 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -16.8, 61.2
GREEN
25 01 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.2, 60.2
GREEN
26 01 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 1.1 million people -17.7, 59.1
GREEN
27 02 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 185 no people 1.3 million people -18, 58.3
GREEN
28 02 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 3 185 no people 1.6 million people -18.5, 57.6
GREEN
29 02 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 1.9 million people -18.9, 56.7
GREEN
30 02 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 3 185 no people 2.2 million people -18.9, 56.1
GREEN
31 03 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 194 no people 2.2 million people -19, 55.7
GREEN
31 03 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 2 176 no people 850000 people -19.5, 54.5
GREEN
31 04 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 2 176 no people 530000 people -19.5, 53.3
GREEN
31 04 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 185 no people 8 million people -19.7, 51.9
RED
31 05 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 185 450000 people 13.7 million people -20, 50.2
ORANGE
31 05 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 15.4 million people -20.3, 48.2 Madagascar
GREEN
31 06 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 2.6 million people -21.2, 44.5 Madagascar
GREEN
31 06 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 66000 people -21.5, 41.8
GREEN
31 07 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -22, 40.1
GREEN
31 07 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 960000 people -22.5, 39.2
GREEN
31 08 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -22.9, 38.3
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province Country
Toamasina Madagascar
Fianarantsoa Madagascar

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Mahanoro VVB 5 Civ. Unpaved No 4400

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Mahanoro MGVVB Madagascar

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Masomeloka, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 05 Feb 2022 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (206 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 31 of 03 Feb 2022 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.5
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.5
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.5
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Amado Mozambique  0.5
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 04:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.4
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 16:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 06:00 Baly Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 16:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 16:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 16:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Onara Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 20:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 16:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 08:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 04:00 Mite Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 04:00 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 04:00 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 04:00 Ankoba Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 04:00 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 20:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 16:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 04:00 Manahy Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 04:00 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Barra Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Tama Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 06:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 05:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 16:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambararata Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankevo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 22:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Befasy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 22:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 05:00 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 16:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 07:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 21:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 02:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 02:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 22:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Build v7.1 2008-03-26 Europa Island  0.1
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Warren Point Europa Island  0.1
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Savana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 06:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Akondro Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Esama Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 20:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Napito Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 03:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Mananjary Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Afo Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Siane Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 20:00 Ampalaza Madagascar  0.1