Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for AGATHA-22 in Mexico from 28 May 2022 03:00 UTC to 31 May 2022 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22

in Mexico

31 May 2022 15 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2022-000223-MEX
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (30 May 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)
Landfall	between 30 May 2022 15:00 - 30 May 2022 21:00 in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	28 May 2022 03:00	148	3 million	470 thousand	Mexico
2	28 May 2022 09:00	157	4.6 million	520 thousand	Mexico
3	28 May 2022 15:00	157	3.9 million	270 thousand	Mexico
4	28 May 2022 21:00	167	4.2 million	210 thousand	Mexico
5	29 May 2022 03:00	157	2.9 million	150 thousand	Mexico
6	29 May 2022 09:00	148	3.3 million	190 thousand	Mexico
7	29 May 2022 15:00	176	3.7 million	350 thousand	Mexico
8	29 May 2022 21:00	194	2.9 million	200 thousand	Mexico
9	30 May 2022 03:00	194	3.6 million	220 thousand	Mexico
10	30 May 2022 09:00	176	2.6 million	150 thousand	Mexico
11	30 May 2022 15:00	176	4.5 million	300 thousand	Mexico
12	30 May 2022 21:00	167	2.4 million	260 thousand	Mexico
13	31 May 2022 03:00	111	2.8 million	220 thousand	Mexico
14	31 May 2022 09:00	74	2.8 million	220 thousand	Mexico
15	31 May 2022 15:00	46	2.9 million	220 thousand	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	28 May 2022 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.8, -97.9
2	28 May 2022 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	12.9, -98.1
3	28 May 2022 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	13.2, -98.4
4	28 May 2022 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	13.8, -98.1
5	29 May 2022 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	13.9, -98.7
6	29 May 2022 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	14.1, -98.8
7	29 May 2022 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	14.1, -99
8	29 May 2022 21:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	14.1, -98.7
9	30 May 2022 03:00	Category 2	176	no people	290000 people	14.5, -98.2
10	30 May 2022 09:00	Category 2	176	no people	760000 people	14.8, -97.7
11	30 May 2022 15:00	Category 2	176	190000 people	2.2 million people	15.3, -97.1
12	30 May 2022 21:00	Category 2	167	260000 people	2.2 million people	15.7, -96.6	Mexico
13	31 May 2022 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	2.7 million people	16.2, -96.2	Mexico
14	31 May 2022 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	1.1 million people	16.8, -95.5	Mexico
15	31 May 2022 15:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	17.3, -94.9	Mexico

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Veracruz	Mexico
Oaxaca	Mexico

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Matías Romero	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	20000 people
Ciudad Ixtepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	-
Unión Hidalgo	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	12000 people
Juchitan	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	66000 people
Tehuantepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	37000 people
Salina Cruz	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	74000 people
Oaxaca	Oaxaca	Mexico	Major city	260000 people
Zimatlán	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	9700 people
Miahuatlan	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	17000 people
Ejutla	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	-
Pochutla	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	13000 people
Juchatengo	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	-
Jamiltepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	9800 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Ixtepec	IZT	unknown				0
Ixtepec Military		50	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7500
Salina Cruz	SCX	23				0
Xoxocotlan	OAX	1528	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8000
Bahias de Huatulco International	HUX	143	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8800
Pochutla	PUH	unknown				0
Puerto Escondido	PXM	88	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7500

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Salina Cruz	MXSCX	Mexico
Puerto Angel		Mexico
Punta Escondida		Mexico

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Presidente Benito Juarez	Tehuantepec	1961

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in La Redonda, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 May 2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (72 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 31 May 2022 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 May 2022 20:00	La Redonda	Mexico	0.4
	30 May 2022 22:00	Loma Larga	Mexico	0.3
	31 May 2022 10:00	Union Hidalgo	Mexico	0.3
	31 May 2022 10:00	Chicapa	Mexico	0.3
	31 May 2022 10:00	La Majada	Mexico	0.3
	31 May 2022 12:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.3
	31 May 2022 09:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.3
	31 May 2022 09:00	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.3
	31 May 2022 12:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.3
	30 May 2022 20:00	Coyote	Mexico	0.3
	30 May 2022 21:00	Puerto Angel	Mexico	0.3
	30 May 2022 23:00	Bajo de Arenal	Mexico	0.3
	31 May 2022 12:00	Cachimba	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	La Verde	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	El Tulate	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Boqueron	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Tahuesco	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Laja	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Tamiahua	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Nueva Venecia	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Huitzitzil	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2022 10:00	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.2
	30 May 2022 20:00	Tlachicon	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Buenavista	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Champerico	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Tecojate	Guatemala	0.2
	30 May 2022 17:00	Puerto Escondido	Mexico	0.2
	30 May 2022 17:00	Paso Hondo	Mexico	0.2
	30 May 2022 17:00	Chagues	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Arista	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	La Concepion	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Barra de San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Puerto de San Benito	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	San Jose Rama Blanca	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	El Volcancillo	Honduras	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Barra Madre Vieja	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	Sipacate	Guatemala	0.2
	31 May 2022 12:00	El Tular	Mexico	0.2
	31 May 2022 09:00	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 09:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	La Herradura	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2022 00:00	Mirador	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Acapan	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Alvarado	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	El Zapote	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Hacienda La Chepona	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Murucagua	Honduras	0.1
	30 May 2022 21:00	Tangolunda	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Cabo Rojito	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	El Naranjal	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	La Mata	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Agua Dulce	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Tenixtepec	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Tecolutla	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Gualora	Honduras	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	La Union	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Canton Pimiental	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Ocos	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Salinas	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	El Naranjo	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2022 05:00	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Corral de Mulas	El Salvador	0.1
	30 May 2022 23:00	Ayutla	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	El Chico	Guatemala	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Buen Pais	Mexico	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	Guerrero	El Salvador	0.1
	31 May 2022 12:00	La Guadalupe	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.