Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 69 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (05 Dec 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 69 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 77 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 170 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India168,583
+
Iran1,725 
Pakistan7,668 
India159,190 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Dec 2017 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Dec 2017 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Dec 2017 00:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 03 Dec 2017 12:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 04 Dec 2017 00:00 75 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 04 Dec 2017 12:00 69 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 03 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 04 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 04 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Mumbai India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Asumumbay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Mandve India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Uran India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Trombay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Taloje India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Tarapur India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Gholvad India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Malyan India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Shirgaon India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Palghar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Mahim India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Boisar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:00 Agashi India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 17:45 Alibag India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Nalasopara India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Dongri India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:45 Wadgam India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:45 Kambhat India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:45 Kavi India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:45 Sarod India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 16:30 Bordi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 16:30 Umbargam India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 16:30 Maroli India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:45 Malad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:15 Asarsa India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:15 Harinagar India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:15 Tankari India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 15:45 Daman India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 15:45 Udvada India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:00 Bhagva India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:00 Olpad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:00 Ghogha India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:45 Revadanda India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:45 Murud India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 08:30 Dahej India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Srivardhan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Bankot India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Kelshi India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 06:15 Damka India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:15 Anjanwel India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 07:00 Kotada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Boria India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Guhagar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Mirya India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Purnagad India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 07:15 Mahuva India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Jaigarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 21:30 Jafarabad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 21:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 19:45 Rohisa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 21:15 Dharabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Vijayadurg India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Devgarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Pural India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Purangad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Adiura India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 21:15 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 21:15 Nawabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:00 Achra India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 21:00 Dangarvadi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 20:30 Kotra Nes India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Vengurla India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:30 Malvan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:15 Terekhol India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 19:15 Sutrapada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 19:15 Lodhwa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 19:15 Kodinar India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Honavar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Manki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Mavalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Shirali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Advota India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Chaudi India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Majali India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Karwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Belekeri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Gokarn India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Marmagao India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Panaji India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Agacaim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Madgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:30 Kumta India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:30 Chopdem India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:30 Anjuna India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:30 Somnath India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Chorwad India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Veraval India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Mangrol India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:00 Bainduru India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Shil India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:45 Pahel Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:45 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:45 Laft Iran  0.2
06 Dec 2017 08:45 Gorser India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Udipi India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 09:00 Ratia India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Chittadi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Kundapura India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 08:45 Adodar India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 08:45 Porbandar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Mulki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:30 Qeshm Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:30 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:30 Mangaluru India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 05:45 Jazirat Al Hamra United Arab Emirates  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Ras Al Khaymah United Arab Emirates  0.2
07 Dec 2017 05:15 Ar Rams United Arab Emirates  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Tanur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Ponnani India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Veliyangod India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 09:00 Miyani India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 05:30 Ghalilah United Arab Emirates  0.1
06 Dec 2017 08:45 Lamba India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:45 Beypore India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:45 Chaliyam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:45 Tirurangadi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Khammasi Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Direstan Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Kadikkad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Kumbla India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Kasaragod India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Bekal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Nileshwar India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Chervattur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Trikkaripur India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Bukha Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Edakkad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Dharmadam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Tellicherry India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Mahe India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Chirakkal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:15 Madayipara India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:15 Madayi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:15 Kannapuram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:15 Valapattanam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:15 Azhikkal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:15 Cannanore India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:15 Badagara India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:15 Payyoli India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Salagh Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:45 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:45 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:45 Pirappaiyadimadu Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:45 Brynthuraichenai Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:45 Pappinivatti India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:45 Cochin India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:30 Hormoz Iran  0.1
07 Dec 2017 05:15 Al Khasab Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 03:45 Aramda India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Manattala India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Chavakkad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Guruvayur India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Bandar-e Suza Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Quilandi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Mattancheri India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Turavur India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 19:15 Bhogat India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Chaughat India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Haripad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Kayankulam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Karunagapalli India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Madhi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:00 Devipatam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:00 Muttupettai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:00 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:00 Panalkkulam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:00 Irumeni India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:00 Pamban India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:45 Tondi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 03:30 Gadechi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 03:30 Okha India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 05:30 Kumza Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 05:30 Ash Shishah Oman  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Dwarka India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Talikkulam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:15 Periathullay India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:15 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 19:15 Lakba Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 19:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 19:15 Lakabi Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 19:15 Qaysad Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 03:15 Chudeswar India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Erukkandurai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Vijayapati India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:30 Paddiruppu Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:30 Kalmunai Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:30 Ambalam Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:00 Anaitivu Sri Lanka  0.1
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Purnankuppam India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Pondicherry India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Kalapettai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Tiruchendur India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 03:30 Mandvi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 05:15 Larak Kuhi Iran  0.1
07 Dec 2017 11:30 Kakinada India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:15 Quilon India  0.1