Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries , Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 99 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 99 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 110 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

122 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormYemen39245
+
Other countries56 
Yemen39189 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Oct 2018 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Oct 2018 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Oct 2018 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Oct 2018 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Oct 2018 00:00 91 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 12 Oct 2018 12:00 105 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 13 Oct 2018 00:00 99 -
- - - - - Other countries, Yemen




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 13 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tabut, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Tabut Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 22:15 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:15 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:15 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 22:15 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Haswayn Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Kambhat India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Kavi India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Sarod India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Saqr Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Wadgam India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Qishn Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Jarub Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Faydami Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Itab Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 06:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 05:45 Qadub Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 05:45 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Lughaye Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Carmaale Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:15 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 17:15 Asarsa India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 17:15 Harinagar India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Geeri Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Dahej India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Tankari India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Muler India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:30 Saylac Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Ghogha India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Marero Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 'Imran Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Sharkhat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Lakabi Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Qaysad Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Maallah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Midi Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Jilah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Hais Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Maydh Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Damqawt Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Anteral Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:45 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Berbera Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Maushij Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Seyara Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Boho Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Musaina'a Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Tamnum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Sarar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Raida Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Hasana Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Quddam Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Khird Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Burum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Hami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:30 Jadib Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Qandala Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 08:45 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:30 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Araft Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Salalah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Sudh Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Mach Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Caluula Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Buro Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:45 Kharfat Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Ascira Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:45 Hauf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Abo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link