Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LILI-19 in Timor-Leste, Indonesia from 09 May 2019 06:00 UTC to 10 May 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19

in Timor-Leste, Indonesia

11 May 2019 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (13 May 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	61 km/h	0.3 m	202 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	79 km/h	0.3 m	517 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 May 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	08 May 2019 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2019 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2019 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 May 2019 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 May 2019 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	11 May 2019 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Timor-Leste	133,900	+
	Indonesia	21,300
	Timor-Leste	112,592
	Other countries	08
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Timor-Leste	302,507	+
	Indonesia	200,769
	Timor-Leste	101,738

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	08 May 2019 12:00	523	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2019 00:00	752	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2019 12:00	791	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 May 2019 00:00	393	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 May 2019 12:00	264	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	11 May 2019 00:00	202	130 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Other countries

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Pagatan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 13 May 2019 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 May 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	13 May 2019 04:45	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.3
	13 May 2019 04:45	Pematangdoerian	Indonesia	0.3
	13 May 2019 04:45	Semisir	Indonesia	0.3
	13 May 2019 04:45	Tandjungserdang	Indonesia	0.3
	13 May 2019 04:45	Salinau	Indonesia	0.3
	11 May 2019 03:15	Wickham	Australia	0.3
	11 May 2019 03:15	Point Samson	Australia	0.3
	11 May 2019 03:15	Cossack	Australia	0.3
	13 May 2019 05:00	Semaras	Indonesia	0.3
	11 May 2019 09:45	Derby	Australia	0.2
	13 May 2019 04:00	Kandangan	Indonesia	0.2
	13 May 2019 04:00	Sawarangan	Indonesia	0.2
	13 May 2019 04:00	Batakam	Indonesia	0.2
	13 May 2019 05:30	Boenati	Indonesia	0.2
	13 May 2019 05:00	Tapianbalai	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 03:30	Mardie	Australia	0.2
	12 May 2019 03:45	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Parap	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	13 May 2019 16:45	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.2
	13 May 2019 16:45	Berangas	Indonesia	0.2
	13 May 2019 16:45	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 11:15	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 07:00	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	11 May 2019 07:00	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	12 May 2019 16:45	Pender	Australia	0.2
	13 May 2019 16:15	Langadai	Indonesia	0.2
	13 May 2019 04:30	Okaoka	Indonesia	0.2
	11 May 2019 02:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.2
	13 May 2019 07:15	Port Hedland	Australia	0.1
	13 May 2019 07:15	Wedgefield	Australia	0.1
	13 May 2019 04:45	Teloekkapalpetjah	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 06:45	East Lewis I	Australia	0.1
	13 May 2019 04:45	Tungkaranasam	Indonesia	0.1
	13 May 2019 04:45	Sekapoeng	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 04:30	Bahomia	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 04:30	Maiwawa	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 04:30	Djokdjoh	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 04:30	Namasan	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 04:30	Utarom	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 04:30	Kaimana	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 04:30	Moearona	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 00:00	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 00:00	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 00:00	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 00:00	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 01:00	Oud Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 01:00	Krei-lama	Indonesia	0.1
	11 May 2019 01:00	Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	13 May 2019 05:45	Broome	Australia	0.1
	13 May 2019 05:45	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 08:15	Gribble Settlement	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 04:45	Minjilang	Australia	0.1
	11 May 2019 07:30	Pardoo	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 05:15	Condon	Australia	0.1
	12 May 2019 17:00	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.1
	13 May 2019 14:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.