Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

31 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (02 Nov 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	90 km/h	0.5 m	251 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	169 km/h	0.4 m	850 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Sri Lanka	81,771
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka	2,120,673	+
	India	661,223
	Sri Lanka	1,459,450

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	666	430 thousand	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	231	2 thousand	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	333	8 thousand	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	591	150 thousand		-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 12:00	356	80 thousand	-	-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Kambhat	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Kavi	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Sarod	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Wadgam	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 16:45	Ghogha	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 16:30	Dahej	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 16:45	Harinagar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Kotada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Mahuva	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Jafarabad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Damka	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Umbargam	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Maroli	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Daman	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Udvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 17:15	Rohisa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Dharabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Gholvad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Bordi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Malyan	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Tarapur	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Shirgaon	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Palghar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Boisar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 17:00	Delvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 17:00	Nawabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Dangarvadi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Mahim	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Kodinar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Veraval	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Somnath	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Agashi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Vasai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Dongri	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Mangrol	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Shil	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Malad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Mumbai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Ratia	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Gorser	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 09:30	Adodar	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 09:15	Porbandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Alibag	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Murud	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Bankot	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Kelshi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 09:15	Miyani	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 09:30	Lamba	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Guhagar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 09:30	Bhogat	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 10:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Karwar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Belekeri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Manki	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Shirali	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Okha	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 10:30	Dwarka	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:15	Vengurla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:15	Terekhol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:15	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:15	Anjuna	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Madgaon	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 02:30	Purangad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Panaji	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Majali	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 02:30	Adiura	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:30	Bainduru	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:30	Chittadi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:30	Kundapura	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 14:15	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 14:15	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Devgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Pural	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:30	Achra	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:30	Malvan	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Navinal	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:45	Udipi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:45	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Sika	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 14:15	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 13:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:15	Mulki	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:45	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:15	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Kumbla	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:45	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:45	Chervattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:45	Madayipara	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Jodiya	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:00	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:00	Bekal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:15	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Edakkad	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Mahe	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Badagara	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Payyoli	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 22:00	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 22:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:15	Cannanore	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Tanur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 20:45	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Quilandi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 12:15	Filim	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:30	Sirik	Iran	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:15	Berizak	Iran	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Beypore	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Madayi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:15	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:00	Hisn Diba	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:00	Haffah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:30	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:30	Kumza	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:30	Ash Shishah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 18:45	Fararah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	'Urf	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Maghilah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:45	Limah	Oman	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.