Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (12 Aug 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 130 km/h 0.5 m 138 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 151 km/h 0.8 m 364 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico523 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 130 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

364 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico08 
50-100 mmMexico637 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 169 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 363 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 200 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 245 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Aug 2020 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Aug 2020 16:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2020 15:45 Molino Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2020 15:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2020 15:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 15:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.4
11 Aug 2020 03:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 15:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.4
11 Aug 2020 03:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.4
12 Aug 2020 15:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 18:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2020 18:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 16:00 Cedros Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 01:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 01:00 El Barril Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 12:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2020 18:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 15:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 10:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 10:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 01:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 10:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 10:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 01:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:45 Austwell United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 13:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 01:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 13:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 06:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 15:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 13:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 06:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 06:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 04:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:30 Barron Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 17:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:30 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 01:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 12:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:15 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 17:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 17:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 17:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Estes United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Rockport United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 17:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 North Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Gardendale United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Doyle United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Portland United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Gregory United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 18:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Joluta Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Copala Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:00 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Coyote Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:30 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 17:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 13:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:30 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:30 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:30 El Marques Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 12:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 12:45 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Calvario Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:30 Lamar United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:30 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 12:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:15 Fulton United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 10:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 05:15 El Martillo United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 05:15 Yarborough United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 12:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 01:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:45 Corrales Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 13:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 01:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Maruata Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:30 San Lucas Mexico  0.1