Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
16 Jan 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (16 Jan 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.1 m 16 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 76 km/h 0.3 m 785 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jan 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmAustralia2,153 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia49,456
+
Indonesia251 
Papua New Guinea436 
Australia48,769 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia364,206
+
Indonesia11,120 
Papua New Guinea138,679 
Australia214,407 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia754,915
+
Indonesia60,293 
Papua New Guinea477,585 
Australia217,037 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jan 2021 12:00 575 420 thousand
- - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Elim, Australia. This height is estimated for 16 Jan 2021 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Jan 2021 22:00 Elim Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 21:15 Cooktown Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 21:45 Kladar Indonesia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 21:45 Sabon Indonesia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 21:45 Tor Indonesia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 23:45 Wonga Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 20:15 Gove Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 20:15 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 20:15 Yirrkala Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 23:45 Mossman Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 23:45 Miallo Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 23:45 Port Douglas Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 15:15 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 00:00 Hockley Australia  0.1
16 Jan 2021 18:15 Soeam Indonesia  0.1