Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
17 Jan 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (17 Jan 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.2 m 29 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 857 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

148 km/h

Up to 8 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia7,614 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 162 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia82 
100-250 mmAustralia206,862 
50-100 mmAustralia190,979 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 627 210 thousand
- - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Mossman, Australia. This height is estimated for 17 Jan 2021 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Mossman Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Miallo Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Wonga Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 11:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 11:30 Heits Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 09:45 Hockley Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Per Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Amborip Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Jow Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Ayton Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Banana Pocket Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Lethebrook Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Conway Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Midgeton Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:15 Lower Tully Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:15 Cardwell Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:15 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Coolbie Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Mutarnee Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Freshwater Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Stratford Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Woree Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Edge Hill Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Cairns Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Halifax Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Cassady Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 09:15 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 09:30 South Mission Beach Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 11:15 Carmila Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 11:15 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Cannon Valley Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Windermere Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Cooktown Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 09:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 09:00 Agats Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 12:00 Karumba Australia  0.1