Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
17 Jan 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (17 Jan 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 101 km/h 0.2 m 28 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 857 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

148 km/h

Up to 6 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia6,006 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmAustralia6,170 
250-500 mmAustralia84,630 
100-250 mmAustralia344,291 
50-100 mmAustralia20,595 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 29 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 757 440 thousand
- - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Lower Tully, Australia. This height is estimated for 17 Jan 2021 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jan 2021 23:15 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 23:15 Cardwell Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 21:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 23:45 Coolbie Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 23:45 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 23:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 21:15 Heits Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 23:45 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 23:45 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 23:45 Kinduro Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 18:30 Halifax Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 18:30 Cassady Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 19:00 Deeral Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 19:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 00:00 Lucinda Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 19:45 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 19:45 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 19:45 Townsville Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 19:45 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 22:00 Innisfail Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:15 Mossman Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:15 Miallo Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:15 Wonga Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:15 Port Douglas Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 19:45 Hockley Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 19:45 Alva Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:45 Rita Island Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:00 Cluden Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:00 Oolbun Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 21:00 Carstairs Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 21:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:00 Freshwater Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:00 Stratford Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:00 Edge Hill Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 19:15 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:00 Woree Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 20:00 Cairns Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 19:15 Kamma Australia  0.1