Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
18 Jan 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (20 Jan 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 83 km/h 0.2 m 23 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 857 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

148 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jan 2021 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jan 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmAustralia310 
250-500 mmAustralia23,020 
100-250 mmAustralia104,256 
50-100 mmAustralia139,697 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 29 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jan 2021 06:00 25 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jan 2021 12:00 784 130 thousand
- - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Lower Tully, Australia. This height is estimated for 20 Jan 2021 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Jan 2021 12:30 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 12:30 Cardwell Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:15 Coolbie Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:15 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Halifax Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Cassady Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 12:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:15 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:15 Kinduro Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:15 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:15 Lucinda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:15 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Townsville Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Cluden Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Oolbun Australia  0.2
20 Jan 2021 01:00 Innisfail Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 03:00 Deeral Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 03:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Saibai Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 18:45 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Alva Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 10:00 Cairns Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 10:00 Kamma Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 10:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Dauan Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Matara Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Urum Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Daub Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:30 Miallo Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:30 Wonga Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:45 Mossman Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:45 Port Douglas Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 18:15 Boigu Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 18:15 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:30 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:30 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:30 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:30 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 18:15 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 16:15 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:00 Conway Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:00 Midgeton Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Carstairs Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Rita Island Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:30 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:30 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:15 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:15 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:15 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 08:00 Soeam Indonesia  0.1