Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ANDRES-21 Off-shore from 09 May 2021 09:00 UTC to 11 May 2021 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANDRES-21

Off-shore

11 May 2021 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANDRES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	43 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (11 May 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	43 km/h	0.3 m	206 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	54 km/h	0.3 m	433 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

54 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 May 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	08 May 2021 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2021 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2021 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 May 2021 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 May 2021 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	11 May 2021 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	253,302

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	08 May 2021 12:00	138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2021 00:00	243	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2021 12:00	424	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 May 2021 00:00	326	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 May 2021 12:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	11 May 2021 00:00	310	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 May 2021 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 May 2021 00:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.3
	11 May 2021 00:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.3
	11 May 2021 00:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.3
	12 May 2021 06:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.3
	12 May 2021 06:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.3
	11 May 2021 18:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 18:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 18:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 13:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 13:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 13:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 18:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 18:30	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 18:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 01:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 01:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 01:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	13 May 2021 10:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	13 May 2021 10:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:30	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:30	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:30	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:15	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:30	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	12 May 2021 12:45	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 18:30	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	12 May 2021 05:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	13 May 2021 07:45	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	13 May 2021 07:45	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.