Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (28 Jun 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.2 m 205 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

148 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico279 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 155 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico396,025 
100-250 mmMexico2,128,791 
50-100 mmMexico, United States5,338,435
+
Mexico5,166,712 
United States171,723 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 545 2.5 million
- - - Mexico, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Nadeau, United States. This height is estimated for 28 Jun 2021 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Jun 2021 08:30 Nadeau United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:30 Texas City United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:30 Virginia Point United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:30 Galveston United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:30 Fort Travis United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Olivia United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 11:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Indianola United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 20:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:30 Matagorda United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:30 Chinquapin United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:15 Rockport United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:15 Copano Village United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:15 Fulton United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:15 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:15 Lamar United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 North Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Gardendale United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Doyle United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Orange Grove United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Peary Place United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Portland United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Gregory United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Ingleside United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 Austwell United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:30 Estes United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:30 Port Aransas United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Mims United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Hoskins United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Port Morris United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Sea Isle United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Hitchcock United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:00 Bayside United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:30 Palacios United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:30 Collegeport United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:30 Simpsonville United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 15:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 15:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 13:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 13:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 13:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 13:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 15:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 12:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 12:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 14:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Freeport United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Quintana United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Surfside United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 01:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 01:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 16:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 00:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 13:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:45 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:45 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:45 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1