Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-21
Off-shore
02 Aug 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Aug 16:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 101 km/h 0.3 m 220 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 0.8 m 613 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Aug 2021 18:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Aug 2021 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Aug 2021 06:00 586 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 371 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Charley, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Aug 2021 16:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Aug 2021 16:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 17:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 17:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 16:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 17:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 16:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 16:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 16:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 17:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 17:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 17:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 17:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 16:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 16:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 16:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 17:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 16:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 18:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 17:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1