Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IGNACIO-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IGNACIO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (02 Aug 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.4 m 168 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 65 km/h 0.7 m 464 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Aug 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Aug 2021 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 04 Aug 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico1,493,357 
50-100 mmMexico2,811,213 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Aug 2021 00:00 264 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Aug 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Aug 2021 00:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 02 Aug 2021 12:00 344 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Aug 2021 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Aug 2021 12:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 04 Aug 2021 00:00 168 320 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Aug 2021 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico565 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.7
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
02 Aug 2021 03:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
02 Aug 2021 09:00 Cedros Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 04:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 11:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 11:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 10:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 03:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 06:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 10:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 10:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 00:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 07:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 07:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 09:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 09:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 09:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 09:00 Cunano Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 18:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 21:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 21:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 20:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 20:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 07:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 16:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 10:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 07:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 07:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 00:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 00:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 16:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 09:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 11:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 21:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 19:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 20:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 05:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 11:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 03:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 06:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 02:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 01:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 09:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 08:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 20:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 21:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 21:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 20:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 01:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 11:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 09:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 02:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1