Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
25 Oct 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (25 Oct 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 162 km/h 0.2 m 249 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.7 m 471 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico142,964 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Oct 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Oct 2021 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

471 mm

Up to 360 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico169,135 
100-250 mmMexico191,011 
50-100 mmMexico706,653 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Oct 2021 18:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Oct 2021 00:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Oct 2021 06:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Oct 2021 12:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Oct 2021 00:00 339 360 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Playa Azul, Mexico. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2021 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2021 00:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 00:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 00:30 Calvario Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 00:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 04:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 04:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Joluta Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 04:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 04:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 01:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:30 Chula Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 04:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:15 La Playa Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 04:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 02:00 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:45 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:45 El Marques Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:00 Maruata Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:15 Apisa Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Santiago Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1