Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (25 Oct 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 50 km/h 0.4 m 144 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 61 km/h 0.5 m 435 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

61 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico3,200 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico4,330 
100-250 mmMexico261,492 
50-100 mmMexico1,918,638 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 00:00 194 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 12:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 378 270 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2021 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2021 20:30 La Choya Mexico  0.4
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Sabine United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Cameron United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 19:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 19:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 16:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 16:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 High Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Smith Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:30 Gilchrist United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Anahuac United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 San Leon United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Galveston United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 16:15 Pelly United States  0.2
23 Oct 2021 08:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 08:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Sixmile United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Point Comfort United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Olivia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Weedhaven United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Webster United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Clear Lake City United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Nassau Bay United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Kilkare United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Lakeside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Taylor Lake United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 La Porte United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 El Lago United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Kemah United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Shoreacres United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Bayside Terrace United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 13:00 Todville United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Palacios United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Collegeport United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Simpsonville United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 14:00 Chula Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 21:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Maudlowe United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Tivoli United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Spanish Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Austwell United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Seadrift United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 10:30 Hitchcock United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 21:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Indianola United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 17:00 Maruata Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 14:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 07:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Estes United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Rockport United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Fulton United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Lamar United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 North Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Doyle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Portland United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Gregory United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 08:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Quintana United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Surfside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Mims United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 13:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1