Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
24 Oct 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (25 Oct 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.4 m 126 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 61 km/h 0.5 m 435 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

61 km/h

Up to 130 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico125,032 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Oct 2021 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico229,472 
100-250 mmMexico1,921,620 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico971,015
+
United States34 
Mexico970,980 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 00:00 194 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 12:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 12:00 149 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 24 Oct 2021 00:00 401 2.2 million
- - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2021 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2021 20:30 La Choya Mexico  0.4
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 10:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 11:00 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Pelly United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Smith Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Anahuac United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 11:45 Joluta Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 10:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Hoskins United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Port Morris United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Sea Isle United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Hitchcock United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Cameron United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 San Leon United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Galveston United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Sabine United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 06:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Todville United States  0.2
27 Oct 2021 00:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
27 Oct 2021 00:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Sixmile United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Point Comfort United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Olivia United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Weedhaven United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Port Alto United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 11:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Austwell United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Gilchrist United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 High Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Carancahua United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Palacios United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Collegeport United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Simpsonville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 21:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:15 Indianola United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 North Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Doyle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Portland United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:45 Gregory United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 13:30 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 13:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Quintana United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Surfside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Mims United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Freeport United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:45 Estes United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:45 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:45 Port Aransas United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:45 Rockport United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:45 Copano Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:45 Fulton United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 04:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Matagorda United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Chinquapin United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 00:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 00:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 14:00 Chula Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:00 City Arroyo United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 01:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 23:15 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 23:15 Lamar United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 23:45 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 23:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 23:45 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 22:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 22:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 22:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 22:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 17:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 17:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1