Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PADDY-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PADDY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (23 Nov 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.4 m 97 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 0.5 m 215 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 23 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia1,438,911 
50-100 mmIndonesia54,005,316 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 91 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 235 1.4 million
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kekatang, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 23 Nov 2021 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Nov 2021 00:30 Kekatang Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 00:30 Menango Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 00:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 00:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 00:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Blimbing Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Dadapan Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Soega Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 00:30 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Gresik Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 14:00 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 01:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Baliga Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 13:30 Laboean Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Cilancang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Losan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 12:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Tambajangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Kajuwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Karangroto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:45 Sampang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:45 Bayeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Patrol Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Cangkring Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Galis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Kendal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:45 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Prenduan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Gending Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Jepara Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Tegal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Karagajar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Djate Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Bluto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Besuki Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Saroka Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Pemalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Sigedang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Sumenep Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Bundan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Gedugan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Songai Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Mandingan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Remen Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Plosokere Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Djenu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Tuban Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Semanding Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Podang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Brondong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:30 Ardjasa Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:45 Djangdjangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Sidja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Situbondo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:00 Sidaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Kesambirampak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:30 Sapulu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:30 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:30 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:15 Aermata Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:15 Klampis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:30 Kelapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Lombang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Banraas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:45 Puteran Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:00 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:30 Sokabana Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:00 Sumberwaru Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Lungkung Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Lembongan Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Tanglad Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 00:30 Kalianda Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:45 Grajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Belukares Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:45 Sonok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:45 Gajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:00 Katupat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:00 Djoengkat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:30 Goa-daja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:15 Boengkoelan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:15 Kubutambahan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:00 Brakas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:00 Pandji Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:00 Singaradja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:00 Soekasade Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:00 Buleleng Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:30 Badjulmati Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:15 Sunberanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:00 Bandjargondol Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:45 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:45 Gerokgak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:15 Wangsaredja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:45 Djoelah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:30 Gretek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:45 Tejakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:45 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Kalipang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Karangsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Taju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:00 Tegallengah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:15 Tianjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:30 Tjulik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:00 Bubunan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:30 Karangasem Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:15 Tenganan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:15 Amlapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:00 Banjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 20:00 Temoekoes Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Maringgai Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:45 Kubu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Batangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Rembang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:15 Lasem Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Prancak Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Negara Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Tambak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 06:30 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Guring Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:15 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 09:30 Cardabia Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Domas Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Seseh Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Kuta Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Boealoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Benua Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Denpasar Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Sukawati Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Labih Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:15 Binangoen Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:45 Glenroy Australia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 05:45 Onslow Australia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 18:00 Brassan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 08:30 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Petjatu Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 02:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 02:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 09:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:15 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Learmonth Australia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 08:30 Putih Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 00:00 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 00:00 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 00:00 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 00:00 Labuhan Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 00:00 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 02:45 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 02:45 Popoh Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Merak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Bakau Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 17:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:30 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Karbang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Walur Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Wainapal Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Krui Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Kerbang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 04:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Sumur Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:15 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 09:00 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 09:00 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 09:00 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:15 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:30 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:15 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:15 Deliugo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:15 Kalak Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:30 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:15 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:00 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:00 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 09:15 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 03:45 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:45 Kabue Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:45 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Condro Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Guying Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 02:30 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Panggul Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 07:45 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 12:30 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 12:30 Chikalong Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 12:30 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Plotot Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 08:30 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1