Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PADDY-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PADDY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (24 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.4 m 26 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 0.5 m 215 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Nov 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Nov 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Nov 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Nov 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndonesia6,945,747 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 91 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Nov 2021 06:00 136 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 23 Nov 2021 12:00 71 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 7 23 Nov 2021 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Nov 2021 00:00 139 -
- - - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Menango, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Nov 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Nov 2021 00:00 Menango Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 00:00 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 00:00 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 00:00 Tarahan Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 00:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 00:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Kandangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Gresik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 00:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Tambajangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Kajuwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:30 Sidaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Remen Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Plosokere Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Djenu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Tuban Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Semanding Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Podang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Brondong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Baliga Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 14:30 Laboean Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Blimbing Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Dadapan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Soega Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Bayeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Aermata Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Klampis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Sapulu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Songai Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Kelapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Ardjasa Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Sampang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Sokabana Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Karangroto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Wedung Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Gending Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Prenduan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Djate Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Bluto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Saroka Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Sumenep Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Bundan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Gedugan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Galis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Kalipang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Karagajar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Boengkoelan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kubutambahan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Jepara Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:00 Goa-daja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:15 Tambak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:00 Badjulmati Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:00 Djangdjangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Gretek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Pandji Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Singaradja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Soekasade Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Buleleng Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Djoelah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Brakas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Tianjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Tjulik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Tejakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Bandjargondol Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:00 Katupat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:00 Djoengkat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Tenganan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Amlapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Karangasem Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Besuki Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Wangsaredja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Gajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Puteran Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Lombang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Banraas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Grajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Gerokgak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:00 Kesambirampak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Sunberanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Taju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Rembang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:30 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:30 Sonok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kubu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Belukares Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:00 Sumberwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Mandingan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Situbondo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Tegallengah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Bubunan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Banjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Temoekoes Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:00 Lasem Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Indramaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Karangsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Losan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:00 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Pemalang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:30 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Cupel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Prancak Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Negara Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Lungkung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Lembongan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Tanglad Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 00:30 Kalianda Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:45 Onslow Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:45 Glenroy Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Domas Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:45 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Labih Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:15 Mendaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Learmonth Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Sumur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 07:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 17:00 Guring Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 17:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Labuhan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Seseh Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Boealoe Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Benua Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Popoh Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 14:45 Cardabia Australia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Merak Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Guying Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Condro Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 13:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 11:30 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 12:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 12:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 12:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Plotot Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 17:15 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 17:15 Karangberak Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 17:15 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:15 Tambaksari Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Galur Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Srandakan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1