Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PADDY-21
Off-shore
23 Nov 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PADDY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (23 Nov 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 0.4 m 107 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 0.5 m 215 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 23 Nov 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Nov 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Nov 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Nov 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Nov 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia790,336 
50-100 mmIndonesia11,015,109 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Nov 2021 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Nov 2021 12:00 91 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 3 22 Nov 2021 18:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Nov 2021 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Nov 2021 06:00 136 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 6 23 Nov 2021 12:00 71 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 7 23 Nov 2021 18:00 140 790 thousand
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Menango, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 23 Nov 2021 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Nov 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Nov 2021 19:15 Menango Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 19:15 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 19:15 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 19:15 Tarahan Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 00:15 Kiluan Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 00:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Blimbing Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Dadapan Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Soega Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.4
23 Nov 2021 18:15 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.4
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Kandangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Gresik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 05:30 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 00:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Tambajangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 15:45 Kajuwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:15 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:15 Bayeman Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Djomblang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Semarang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Karangroto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:30 Sidaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Laboean Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Baliga Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Bugel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Remen Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Plosokere Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Djenu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Tuban Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Semanding Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Podang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Brondong Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:15 Sampang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Aermata Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 12:30 Klampis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Gending Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Kraksaan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Sapulu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Jepara Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Songai Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Karagajar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Galis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 16:15 Ardjasa Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Prenduan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Kelapang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Sokabana Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Djate Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Bluto Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Saroka Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Sumenep Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Bundan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Gedugan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:15 Djangdjangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:45 Besuki Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Taju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Batangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:15 Rembang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:45 Mandingan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Boengkoelan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kubutambahan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:45 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:45 Kalipang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Goa-daja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:15 Puteran Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:00 Batuputihkenek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:00 Lombang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:00 Banraas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Sumberwaru Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Sunberanjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 19:00 Kesambirampak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Grajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Bandjargondol Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 18:45 Situbondo Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Pandji Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Singaradja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Soekasade Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Buleleng Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Gajam Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Katupat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Djoengkat Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Djoelah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:00 Badjulmati Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Gretek Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Brakas Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Sonok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Tjulik Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Tianjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Tejakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Wangsaredja Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Karangasem Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:45 Belukares Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Tenganan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Amlapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Gerokgak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Tegallengah Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kubu Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Bubunan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Banjar Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 17:30 Temoekoes Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 11:00 Tambak Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 09:15 Lasem Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 10:00 Karangsari Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Indramaju Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 04:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Losan Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Cilancang Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Cirebon Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:15 Sidja Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Prancak Indonesia  0.3
23 Nov 2021 21:00 Negara Indonesia  0.3
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:00 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:00 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:15 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:15 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:15 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:15 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Pemalang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 05:45 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Sigedang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Lungkung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Lembongan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Tanglad Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 18:00 Brassan Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 10:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 10:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 23:45 Kalianda Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 10:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:00 Onslow Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 06:45 Glenroy Australia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 10:00 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 04:30 Domas Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 09:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 23:30 Guring Indonesia  0.2
23 Nov 2021 23:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Learmonth Australia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Labih Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 08:30 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
25 Nov 2021 06:45 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Sumur Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 12:15 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Labuhan Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 17:15 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Seseh Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Kuta Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Boealoe Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Benua Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Denpasar Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Sukawati Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.2
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Petjatu Indonesia  0.2
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:00 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 12:45 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 05:15 Cardabia Australia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 03:30 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:30 Popoh Indonesia  0.1
25 Nov 2021 08:00 Merak Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 04:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 02:30 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Karbang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Walur Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Wainapal Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Krui Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Kerbang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:00 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 17:45 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 22:45 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 22:15 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 22:15 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Guying Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Condro Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:15 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 08:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:30 Plotot Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 22:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 12:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 12:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 12:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:15 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:15 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 02:45 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Galur Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Srandakan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.1
24 Nov 2021 07:45 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:15 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:15 Karangberak Indonesia  0.1
23 Nov 2021 23:15 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 06:45 Kabue Indonesia  0.1
26 Nov 2021 07:00 Tambaksari Indonesia  0.1