Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Pakistan, Iran, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 87 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (04 Dec 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 87 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 92 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

92 km/h

Up to 420 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPakistan, Iran, India417,604
+
Pakistan272,569 
Iran108,533 
India36,502 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 87 -
- - - - - Pakistan, Iran, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 04 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Mumbai India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Asumumbay India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Mandve India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Uran India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Trombay India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Taloje India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Wadgam India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Kambhat India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Kavi India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Sarod India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Trikkaripur India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Madayipara India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Madayi India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:30 Bekal India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:30 Nileshwar India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:30 Chervattur India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Alibag India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Mulki India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Mangaluru India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Honavar India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Manki India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Mavalli India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Shirali India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Bhatkal India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Srivardhan India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Bankot India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Kelshi India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 10:15 Bhagva India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 10:15 Olpad India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Kumta India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Revadanda India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Murud India  0.3
01 Dec 2017 19:45 Kundapura India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:45 Udipi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Kumbla India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Kasaragod India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Anjanwel India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 21:00 Beypore India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 21:00 Chaliyam India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 21:00 Tirurangadi India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 21:00 Tanur India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 21:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Guhagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Boria India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Jaigarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:30 Malad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:30 Dongri India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:15 Tellicherry India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:15 Mahe India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:15 Badagara India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:00 Nalasopara India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:00 Agashi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Shirgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Palghar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Mahim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Boisar India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Kannapuram India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Chirakkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Mirya India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:15 Ponnani India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:15 Veliyangod India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Udvada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 11:45 Mahuva India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 11:45 Kotada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Ghogha India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Asarsa India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Harinagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Tankari India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:15 Payyoli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Tarapur India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Chittadi India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 18:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Alleppey India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Ambalapulai India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Bainduru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:45 Dahej India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Kadikkad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Gholvad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Malyan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Damka India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Maroli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Daman India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:30 Edakkad India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:30 Dharmadam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Bordi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Umbargam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 11:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Anjuna India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Panaji India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:30 Pappinivatti India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Purangad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Purnagad India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Kozhikode India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 18:45 Agastiswaram India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 18:45 Cape Comorin India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 18:45 Erukkandurai India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 18:45 Vijayapati India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Adiura India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:30 Advota India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:30 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:30 Majali India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:30 Karwar India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Belekeri India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Ankola India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Gokarn India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:15 Quilandi India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:15 Talakkolattur India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Devgarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Pural India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Achra India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Turavur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Dharabandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Rohisa India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Jafarabad India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:45 Manattala India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:45 Chavakkad India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:45 Guruvayur India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:30 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Valapattanam India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Azhikkal India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:00 Cannanore India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Malvan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 13:45 Sutrapada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 13:45 Lodhwa India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 13:45 Kodinar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Vengurla India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Terekhol India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Delvada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Nawabandar India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:15 Kayankulam India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 20:15 Karunagapalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 13:45 Kotra Nes India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 13:45 Dangarvadi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Periathullay India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 22:15 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Dec 2017 21:30 Haripad India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 21:00 Chaughat India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 21:00 Talikkulam India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:45 Cochin India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:45 Mattancheri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Madgaon India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Vilinjam India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Puvar India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Taingapatam India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Kolachel India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Chorwad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Veraval India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Somnath India  0.2
01 Dec 2017 22:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Tiruchendur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Shil India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Mangrol India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 21:15 Quilon India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Gorser India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:30 Ratia India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:15 Devipatam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:15 Muttupettai India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:15 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:15 Panalkkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:15 Irumeni India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:15 Pamban India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Anjengo India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Thiruvananthapuram India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:00 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:00 Rameswaram India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Kilakarai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Adodar India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Varkkallai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Porbandar India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 23:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:15 Pahel Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:15 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:15 Laft Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Beruwala Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Akadagoda Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Ambalangoda Sri Lanka  0.1
01 Dec 2017 23:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:45 Thoothukkudi India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 'Urf Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Hiql Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Anaitivu Sri Lanka  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:00 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 22:00 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 22:00 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Sikkal India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 23:30 Porto Novo India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Melmandai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Vembar India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 05:45 Purnankuppam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 05:45 Pondicherry India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 05:45 Kalapettai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Brynthuraichenai Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Sittandy Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Vedakudiyiruppu Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Batticaloa Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Kattankudi Sri Lanka  0.1