Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 89 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (05 Dec 11:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 89 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 92 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

92 km/h

Up to 590 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India588,121
+
Iran97,719 
Pakistan477,344 
India13,058 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Dec 2017 06:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Dec 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Dec 2017 18:00 92 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 03 Dec 2017 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Dec 2017 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Dec 2017 12:00 92 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Dec 2017 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 04 Dec 2017 00:00 89 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 04 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 11:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Wadgam India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Kambhat India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Kavi India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Sarod India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 16:15 Mumbai India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 16:15 Asumumbay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 16:15 Mandve India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 16:15 Uran India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 16:15 Trombay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 16:15 Taloje India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Asarsa India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Harinagar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Tankari India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Ghogha India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 09:15 Shirgaon India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:15 Palghar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:15 Mahim India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Agashi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Nalasopara India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:15 Dongri India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Boisar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 16:45 Alibag India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 14:00 Tarapur India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Malad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Dahej India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Malyan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 14:00 Gholvad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Srivardhan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Bankot India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Kelshi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Murud India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Revadanda India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Umbargam India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Maroli India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Bordi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Bhagva India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Olpad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 07:15 Mahuva India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 07:15 Kotada India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Daman India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Udvada India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 08:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 05:30 Anjanwel India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 08:15 Damka India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Jafarabad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Dharabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Rohisa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:30 Guhagar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Nawabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Boria India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 01:45 Jaigarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 01:45 Mirya India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Kotra Nes India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Dangarvadi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Ratnagiri India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 01:30 Purnagad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Purangad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Adiura India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 18:15 Somnath India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 18:15 Sutrapada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 18:15 Lodhwa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 18:15 Kodinar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Vijayadurg India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 18:45 Chorwad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 18:45 Veraval India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Devgarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Pural India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Achra India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Vengurla India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Terekhol India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:15 Belekeri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:15 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:15 Gokarn India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 18:30 Mangrol India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 22:30 Shil India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:15 Shirali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:45 Chopdem India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:45 Anjuna India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Malvan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:30 Mavalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:30 Bhatkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:30 Bainduru India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 22:30 Gorser India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:15 Honavar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:15 Manki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:15 Chittadi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Kundapura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Udipi India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Advota India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Chaudi India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Majali India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Karwar India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Ratia India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Kumta India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Marmagao India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Panaji India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Agacaim India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Madgaon India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Adodar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 03:15 Mulki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Cochin India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Mattancheri India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 06:15 Porbandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Pappinivatti India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 06:30 Miyani India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Bekal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Nileshwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Chervattur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 06:00 Lamba India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Mangaluru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:00 Kasaragod India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 03:00 Chirakkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 03:00 Valapattanam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 03:00 Azhikkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 03:00 Cannanore India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Edakkad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Dharmadam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Tellicherry India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Mahe India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Badagara India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 11:30 Kumbla India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 23:45 Aramda India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Kozhikode India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Beypore India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Chaliyam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Tirurangadi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Tanur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:00 Pahel Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:00 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:00 Laft Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 03:30 Talakkolattur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Dwarka India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Turavur India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 06:15 Bhogat India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Kadikkad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:15 Madayipara India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:15 Madayi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:15 Kannapuram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:00 Jhankhar India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:00 Sika India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 23:45 Chudeswar India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 06:30 Madhi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 03:00 Chaughat India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 03:00 Talikkulam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:00 Jambura India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Haripad India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 22:30 Okha India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Ponnani India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Veliyangod India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Manattala India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Chavakkad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Guruvayur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:30 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 21:45 Gadechi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:15 Hiql Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Alleppey India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:00 Mundra India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 23:00 Mandvi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:00 Navinal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Vijayapati India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Periathullay India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Kayankulam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Karunagapalli India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:00 Bhadia India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Quilandi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:00 Jodiya India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:30 Lakabi Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Qaysad Oman  0.1
06 Dec 2017 22:15 Suthri India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:00 Tuna India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 04:15 Payyoli India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Kirinda Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 11:00 Quilon India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:30 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Agastiswaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Cape Comorin India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 13:00 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 13:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Hambantota Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Beruwala Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:00 Akadagoda Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Tangalla Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Hatagala Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:45 Vilinjam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:45 Puvar India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 02:45 Taingapatam India  0.1