Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for OCKHI-17 in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka from 29 Nov 2017 18:00 UTC to 05 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17

in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Pakistan, Iran, India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	92 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (05 Dec 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	92 km/h	0.9 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	92 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

92 km/h

Up to 3.7 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Pakistan, Iran, India	3,682,007	+
	Pakistan	508,328
	Iran	167,836
	India	3,005,843

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	01 Dec 2017 00:00	141	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 06:00	179	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 18:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	02 Dec 2017 00:00	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Dec 2017 06:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Dec 2017 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Dec 2017 18:00	92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	03 Dec 2017 00:00	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	03 Dec 2017 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	03 Dec 2017 12:00	92	-		-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan, Iran, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	01 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	02 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Dec 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	03 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	03 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	03 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in Ghogha, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	05 Dec 2017 13:15	Ghogha	India	0.9
	05 Dec 2017 13:00	Dahej	India	0.9
	05 Dec 2017 12:30	Bhagva	India	0.9
	05 Dec 2017 12:30	Olpad	India	0.9
	05 Dec 2017 12:45	Harinagar	India	0.9
	05 Dec 2017 13:45	Asarsa	India	0.9
	05 Dec 2017 13:45	Tankari	India	0.9
	05 Dec 2017 11:30	Damka	India	0.8
	05 Dec 2017 12:15	Kotada	India	0.8
	05 Dec 2017 14:45	Wadgam	India	0.8
	05 Dec 2017 14:45	Kambhat	India	0.8
	05 Dec 2017 14:45	Kavi	India	0.8
	05 Dec 2017 15:00	Sarod	India	0.8
	05 Dec 2017 10:45	Mahuva	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 11:00	Udvada	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 11:30	Daman	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 09:30	Maroli	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 10:15	Umbargam	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 08:15	Mumbai	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 08:15	Asumumbay	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 08:15	Mandve	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 08:15	Uran	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 08:15	Trombay	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 08:15	Taloje	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 10:00	Bordi	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 09:00	Gholvad	India	0.7
	05 Dec 2017 09:00	Malyan	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 10:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 08:30	Tarapur	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Shirgaon	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Palghar	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Mahim	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Boisar	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Agashi	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 08:30	Nalasopara	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Dongri	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 08:15	Malad	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 09:30	Alibag	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Jafarabad	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 06:00	Revadanda	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 08:00	Dharabandar	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 08:00	Rohisa	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 06:00	Murud	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 06:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 06:30	Srivardhan	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 06:30	Bankot	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 06:30	Kelshi	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 08:00	Nawabandar	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 07:30	Delvada	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 23:45	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 23:45	Boria	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 23:45	Guhagar	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 07:30	Dangarvadi	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 07:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 23:45	Jaigarh	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Mirya	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Purnagad	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 06:45	Kodinar	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Purangad	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Adiura	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:45	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 07:00	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 06:45	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 17:15	Kumta	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 17:15	Honavar	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 17:15	Manki	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 18:15	Somnath	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Mavalli	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Shirali	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Bhatkal	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Bainduru	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 18:30	Veraval	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Pural	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 17:45	Chorwad	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Chittadi	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 23:45	Anjuna	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 23:45	Marmagao	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 23:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 23:45	Panaji	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 23:45	Agacaim	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:45	Devgarh	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Kundapura	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Madgaon	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 19:15	Mangrol	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 00:15	Achra	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Malvan	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 21:45	Shil	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:45	Gokarn	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 15:15	Vengurla	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 16:15	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 16:15	'Urf	Oman	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 16:15	Mursays	Oman	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 16:15	Hiql	Oman	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 16:15	Maghilah	Oman	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 02:15	Belekeri	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 02:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Majali	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Karwar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 18:15	Advota	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 18:15	Chaudi	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Terekhol	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 21:30	Gorser	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:45	Chopdem	India	0.2
	06 Dec 2017 01:30	Ratia	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 21:15	Adodar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 22:15	Pahel	Iran	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 22:15	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 22:15	Laft	Iran	0.2
	06 Dec 2017 01:30	Porbandar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 22:15	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 15:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 00:45	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 22:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 22:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	06 Dec 2017 02:00	Lamba	India	0.2
	06 Dec 2017 02:00	Miyani	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 20:45	Al Ashkharah	Oman	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 20:45	Al Jumaylah	Oman	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Mahe	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Badagara	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Payyoli	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 20:00	Cochin	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 20:00	Mattancheri	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 23:00	Chervattur	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 23:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 23:00	Madayipara	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 23:00	Madayi	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 23:45	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 23:45	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 14:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 18:45	Quilandi	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 20:15	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 18:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 22:45	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:45	Manattala	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:45	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:45	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:45	Chaughat	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:45	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 15:15	Tanur	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 15:15	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:30	Ponnani	India	0.1
	06 Dec 2017 04:45	Bhogat	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Cannanore	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Edakkad	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	06 Dec 2017 05:00	Madhi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:00	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:30	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:30	Periathullay	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:30	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:00	Devipatam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:00	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:00	Tirupalakudi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:00	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:00	Irumeni	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:00	Pamban	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 03:00	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 03:00	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 21:30	Ra's ar Ru'ays	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:45	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:00	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:15	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:30	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:30	Dogerdan	Iran	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:45	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:45	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:45	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:45	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:45	Rameswaram	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	Haripad	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:15	Tondi	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Dwarka	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:15	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 06:15	Alleppey	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 21:15	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:15	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:15	Turavur	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 14:45	Hambantota	Sri Lanka	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 14:45	Kirinda	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:15	Kolachel	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:15	Kadiapattanam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:00	Beruwala	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:00	Akadagoda	Sri Lanka	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 14:00	Uppuveli	Sri Lanka	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 14:00	Trincomalee	Sri Lanka	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 14:00	Foul Point	Sri Lanka	0.1
	06 Dec 2017 00:30	Jambura	India	0.1
	06 Dec 2017 00:30	Jodiya	India	0.1
	06 Dec 2017 03:45	Gadechi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:30	Agastiswaram	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:30	Cape Comorin	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 03:45	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 13:30	Anaitivu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 13:30	Ammanthanaveli	Sri Lanka	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 13:30	Arukarkudah	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:45	Quilon	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:45	Varkkallai	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:15	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:30	Pesabandar	Iran	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	Erukkandurai	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 22:00	Aramda	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:45	Wadduwa	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 16:45	Kalutara	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:15	Colombo	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:15	Dehiwala	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:15	Wattala	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:15	Ja-Ela	Sri Lanka	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 09:45	Kumana	Sri Lanka	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 09:45	Okanda	Sri Lanka	0.1
	06 Dec 2017 12:00	Point Pedro	Sri Lanka	0.1
	06 Dec 2017 12:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	06 Dec 2017 12:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 17:00	Ambalangoda	Sri Lanka	0.1
	06 Dec 2017 12:00	Okha	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.