Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Dec 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 92 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

92 km/h

Up to 650 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India650,565
+
Iran170,579 
Pakistan461,556 
India18,430 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Dec 2017 06:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Dec 2017 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Mumbai India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Asumumbay India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Mandve India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Uran India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Trombay India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Taloje India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:45 Malad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Revadanda India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:00 Nalasopara India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:00 Agashi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:00 Dongri India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Alibag India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Srivardhan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Bankot India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Kelshi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:00 Mahim India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Murud India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Shirgaon India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Palghar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Boisar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:30 Anjanwel India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Guhagar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Mahuva India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Kotada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Tarapur India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Malyan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Gholvad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:45 Boria India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Damka India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Dharabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Rohisa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Jafarabad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:45 Jaigarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Daman India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Udvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Maroli India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:30 Umbargam India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 08:45 Bordi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Mirya India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Nawabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:15 Ratnagiri India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Ghogha India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Purnagad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Dangarvadi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Dahej India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Purangad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Adiura India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Vijayadurg India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Bhagva India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Olpad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:45 Kodinar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:30 Pural India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 12:30 Wadgam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 12:30 Kambhat India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 12:30 Kavi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 12:30 Sarod India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:45 Mavalli India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:45 Shirali India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:45 Bainduru India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Lodhwa India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:30 Devgarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Asarsa India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Harinagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:30 Tankari India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Sutrapada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Achra India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:30 Kumta India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:30 Honavar India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:30 Manki India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:15 Chittadi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:15 Kundapura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Malvan India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:45 Udipi India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Somnath India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Vengurla India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Terekhol India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 20:00 Madgaon India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:30 Belekeri India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:30 Ankola India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:30 Gokarn India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Veraval India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Majali India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Karwar India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Advota India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Chaudi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:15 Chopdem India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:15 Anjuna India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:15 Marmagao India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:15 Panaji India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Agacaim India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:45 Chorwad India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:45 Mulki India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:30 Mangaluru India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 01:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Trikkaripur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Madayipara India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Madayi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Kannapuram India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Chirakkal India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:00 Tirurangadi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:00 Tanur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Kumbla India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Kasaragod India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Bekal India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Chervattur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Valapattanam India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Azhikkal India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Cannanore India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 13:15 Periathullay India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 13:15 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 13:15 Tiruchendur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Nileshwar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Mangrol India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Shil India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:00 Chaliyam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 20:00 Mahe India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 20:00 Badagara India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Ratia India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Gorser India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Edakkad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 17:30 Vijayapati India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 00:15 Kozhikode India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 00:15 Beypore India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 18:30 Tellicherry India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 17:30 Chaughat India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 17:30 Talikkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:15 Quilandi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Adodar India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 00:30 Payyoli India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 14:00 Pappinivatti India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 12:30 Erukkandurai India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Porbandar India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 10:15 Pahel Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 10:15 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 10:15 Laft Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:15 Kadikkad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:15 Manattala India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:15 Chavakkad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:15 Guruvayur India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 17:00 Thoothukkudi India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 14:00 Ponnani India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 14:00 Veliyangod India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:15 Miyani India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 14:00 Mattancheri India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 14:00 Turavur India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 14:00 Kayankulam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 14:00 Karunagapalli India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 12:15 Agastiswaram India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 12:15 Cape Comorin India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:15 Lamba India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 15:45 Haripad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:30 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:00 Purnankuppam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:00 Pondicherry India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:00 Kalapettai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:30 Uppuveli Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:30 Trincomalee Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:30 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 12:15 Alleppey India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 12:15 Ambalapulai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 14:00 Varkkallai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 14:00 Anjengo India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 00:00 Cochin India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 17:00 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Devipatam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Muttupettai India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Panalkkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Irumeni India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Pamban India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 19:00 Rameswaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Bhogat India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 18:30 Quilon India  0.1