Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for OCKHI-17 in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka from 29 Nov 2017 18:00 UTC to 05 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17

in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Pakistan, Iran, India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	95 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (05 Dec 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	95 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	92 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

92 km/h

Up to 870 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Pakistan, Iran, India	865,865	+
	Pakistan	479,615
	Iran	145,808
	India	240,442

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	01 Dec 2017 00:00	141	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 06:00	179	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 18:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	02 Dec 2017 00:00	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Dec 2017 06:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Dec 2017 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Dec 2017 18:00	92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	03 Dec 2017 00:00	95	-		-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan, Iran, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	01 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	02 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Dec 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	03 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Mumbai	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Asumumbay	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Mandve	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Uran	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Trombay	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Taloje	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 08:00	Mahim	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 08:00	Nalasopara	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 08:00	Agashi	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 08:00	Dongri	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 07:45	Shirgaon	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 07:45	Palghar	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 07:30	Malad	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 07:45	Boisar	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 16:00	Alibag	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 06:15	Revadanda	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 06:00	Murud	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 08:00	Tarapur	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 05:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 05:45	Srivardhan	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 05:45	Bankot	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 05:45	Kelshi	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 07:00	Malyan	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 07:45	Gholvad	India	0.5
	05 Dec 2017 05:30	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 07:30	Bordi	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 07:30	Umbargam	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 07:30	Maroli	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Guhagar	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 22:30	Boria	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 07:15	Daman	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 07:15	Udvada	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Jaigarh	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:15	Kotada	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 22:30	Mirya	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:15	Damka	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Wadgam	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Kambhat	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Kavi	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 08:45	Sarod	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:30	Ghogha	India	0.4
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:00	Dahej	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:45	Mahuva	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 11:00	Harinagar	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 08:30	Asarsa	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 08:30	Tankari	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 07:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Purnagad	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Purangad	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Adiura	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 07:30	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 11:30	Bhagva	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 11:30	Olpad	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:45	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Pural	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 06:45	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 06:45	Rohisa	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 22:30	Devgarh	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Achra	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 06:30	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 07:00	Delvada	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Vengurla	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Terekhol	India	0.3
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Malvan	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 07:30	Kumta	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 07:30	Honavar	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 07:30	Manki	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 06:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 07:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.3
	03 Dec 2017 02:15	Mavalli	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:15	Shirali	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:30	Chopdem	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 01:45	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 01:45	Bainduru	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Anjuna	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Marmagao	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Panaji	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Agacaim	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Madgaon	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 06:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 06:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:15	Chittadi	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 17:45	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 18:15	Somnath	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 18:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:00	Majali	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:00	Karwar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:00	Belekeri	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 18:30	Chorwad	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:15	Udipi	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 22:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 17:45	Ankola	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 17:45	Gokarn	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 22:30	Shil	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Advota	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Chaudi	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 02:15	Mulki	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 22:15	Gorser	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 21:30	Ratia	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 04:00	Payyoli	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 04:00	Quilandi	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 04:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 21:15	Adodar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 00:30	Mahe	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 00:30	Badagara	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:30	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 04:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 04:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:15	Cannanore	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:15	Edakkad	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:15	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:45	Bekal	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:45	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:45	Chervattur	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 22:00	Porbandar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:15	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 03:15	Beypore	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 04:00	Kadikkad	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 08:30	Pappinivatti	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 08:30	Cochin	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 22:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:00	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 00:30	Madayipara	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 00:30	Madayi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 00:30	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 00:30	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 00:30	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 00:30	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:30	Manattala	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:30	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:30	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:30	Chaughat	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:30	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:30	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:30	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 21:30	Miyani	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:30	Tanur	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:30	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 02:00	Ponnani	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 02:00	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 02:45	Haripad	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:45	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:45	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 13:45	Aramda	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:15	Pahel	Iran	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:15	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:15	Laft	Iran	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 21:15	Lamba	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:00	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	'Urf	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 17:00	Maghilah	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:15	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 09:30	Colombo	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 09:30	Dehiwala	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 09:30	Moratuwa	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 09:30	Wattala	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 09:30	Ja-Ela	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 02:45	Turavur	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 05:45	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 05:45	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 08:15	Alleppey	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 08:15	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 21:15	Bhogat	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 21:15	Madhi	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 13:30	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 13:00	Mandvi	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 13:15	Okha	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:00	Agastiswaram	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:00	Cape Comorin	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 03:00	Erukkandurai	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 10:15	Quilon	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 07:30	As Sifah	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 07:30	Quryat	Oman	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 13:00	Bhadia	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 13:30	Navinal	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 13:30	Mundra	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:30	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 13:15	Suthri	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Al Ashkharah	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Al Jumaylah	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 02:15	Uppuveli	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 02:15	Trincomalee	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 02:15	Foul Point	Sri Lanka	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 06:15	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 13:30	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 04:45	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 04:45	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 14:15	Sika	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 09:30	Kolachel	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 23:00	Dwarka	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 12:45	Gadechi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 02:30	Varkkallai	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 02:30	Anjengo	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.