Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HECTOR-18
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HECTOR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 134 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (06 Aug 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 134 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 168 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico5 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Jul 2018 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 05 Aug 2018 00:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Aug 2018 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 2 05 Aug 2018 06:00 77 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to Few people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Jul 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 1 05 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 05 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Desembarcadero de Miller, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Aug 2018 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2018 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Aug 2018 05:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
06 Aug 2018 05:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2018 20:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 02:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 04:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2018 19:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 05:00 El Barril Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2018 20:00 San Jose Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2018 20:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2018 20:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 04:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2018 20:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2018 20:30 Loreto Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 05:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 05:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Olowalu United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Kahakuloa United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Waihee United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Hyashi Village United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Wailuku United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Kahului United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Puunene United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Village Eight United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Hawaiian Village United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Paia United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Haiku United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Pauwela United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 08:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 08:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 04:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 03:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 17:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:30 Liliba Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 17:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 17:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 17:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 16:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 16:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 17:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 17:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 21:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 21:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 17:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 16:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 08:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 08:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Ulumalu United States  0.1
05 Aug 2018 16:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 04:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 07:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 04:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 16:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 19:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 07:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 07:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 05:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 05:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 21:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 16:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 16:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:30 El Tule Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 05:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:30 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 14:15 Weston Point Kiribati  0.1
07 Aug 2018 14:15 Napari Kiribati  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:30 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link