Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HECTOR-18
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HECTOR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 128 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Aug 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 128 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 168 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

190 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico5 
Tropical StormMexico97648 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Jul 2018 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 05 Aug 2018 00:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Aug 2018 00:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 05 Aug 2018 06:00 77 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Aug 2018 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Aug 2018 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 01 Aug 2018 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Aug 2018 18:00 150 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Aug 2018 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Aug 2018 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 02 Aug 2018 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 06 Aug 2018 06:00 183 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Aug 2018 06:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 06 Aug 2018 12:00 150 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Aug 2018 12:00 138 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 06 Aug 2018 18:00 138 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Jul 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 1 05 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 05 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 01 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 02 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 06 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 06 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 06 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Bahia de Tortugas, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2018 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2018 08:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
09 Aug 2018 08:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
08 Aug 2018 18:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Loreto Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Olowalu United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Kahakuloa United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Waihee United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Hyashi Village United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Wailuku United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Kahului United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Puunene United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Village Eight United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Hawaiian Village United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Paia United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Haiku United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Pauwela United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:15 El Barril Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:15 San Jose Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 21:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 21:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Empalme Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 03:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 04:15 Ligui Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 04:15 Tripui Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 04:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 07:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 12:00 Ulumalu United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 06:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 06:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 06:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 06:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 06:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 08:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 08:00 Cunano Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 14:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Laupahoehoe United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Papaaloa United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Weloka United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Ninole United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Hakalau United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Honomu United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Pepeekeo United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Wainaku United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Papaikou United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Paukaa United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Hilo United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:15 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2018 14:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 18:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Kamalo United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Keomuku United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Ualapue United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Kaanapali United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Puukolii United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Lahaina United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Crater Village United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Honokahua United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Kapalua United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 20:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Umipaa United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kaunakakai United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Moku United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kaluaaha United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Pukoo United States  0.1
07 Aug 2018 14:30 Napari Kiribati  0.1
07 Aug 2018 14:30 Weston Point Kiribati  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Haena United States  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Wainiha United States  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Hanalei United States  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Princeville United States  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Kilauea United States  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Kealia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Moloaa United States  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Kapaa United States  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Anahola United States  0.1
09 Aug 2018 11:30 Kumukumu United States  0.1

Calculation folder at this link