Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HECTOR-18
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HECTOR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 146 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (08 Aug 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 146 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 168 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

190 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2018 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico356 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico440
+
United States140 
Mexico300 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Jul 2018 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 05 Aug 2018 00:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Aug 2018 00:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 05 Aug 2018 06:00 77 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Aug 2018 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Aug 2018 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 01 Aug 2018 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Aug 2018 18:00 150 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Aug 2018 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Aug 2018 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 02 Aug 2018 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 06 Aug 2018 06:00 183 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Aug 2018 06:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 06 Aug 2018 12:00 150 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Aug 2018 12:00 128 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 06 Aug 2018 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Aug 2018 18:00 132 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 07 Aug 2018 00:00 160 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 03 Aug 2018 00:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 07 Aug 2018 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 03 Aug 2018 06:00 143 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 07 Aug 2018 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 03 Aug 2018 12:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 07 Aug 2018 18:00 147 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 03 Aug 2018 18:00 140 Few people
- - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 13 08 Aug 2018 00:00 140 Few people
- - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Jul 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 1 05 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 05 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 01 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 02 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 06 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 06 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 06 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 07 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 03 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 07 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 03 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 07 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 03 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 07 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 03 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 08 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Olowalu, United States. This height is estimated for 08 Aug 2018 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2018 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Olowalu United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Kahakuloa United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Waihee United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Hyashi Village United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Wailuku United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Kahului United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Puunene United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Village Eight United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Hawaiian Village United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Paia United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Haiku United States  0.6
08 Aug 2018 10:00 Pauwela United States  0.6
09 Aug 2018 08:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
08 Aug 2018 19:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 18:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 09:15 Ulumalu United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 08:15 Cedros Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Loreto Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 09:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 09:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 09:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 09:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 14:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 14:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 18:45 El Barril Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 19:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 18:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Laupahoehoe United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Papaaloa United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Weloka United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Ninole United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Hakalau United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Honomu United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Pepeekeo United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Wainaku United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Papaikou United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Paukaa United States  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Hilo United States  0.3
09 Aug 2018 04:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 08:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Kamalo United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Keomuku United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Ualapue United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Kaanapali United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Puukolii United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Lahaina United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Crater Village United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Honokahua United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:15 Kapalua United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 14:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 05:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Liliba Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 21:15 Haena United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 21:15 Wainiha United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 21:15 Hanalei United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 21:15 Princeville United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 21:15 Kilauea United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 21:15 Kealia United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 21:15 Moloaa United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 21:15 Kapaa United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 21:15 Anahola United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 22:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 14:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 14:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 07:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 13:15 Kaunakakai United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 13:15 Moku United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 13:15 Kaluaaha United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 13:15 Pukoo United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 13:15 Waialua United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 13:15 Halawa United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 02:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 02:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 22:15 Kumukumu United States  0.2
10 Aug 2018 12:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 05:15 Maalaea United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 05:15 Kihei United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 05:15 Keawakapu United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 05:15 Makena United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 05:15 Keoneoio United States  0.2
09 Aug 2018 05:15 Ulupalakua United States  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2018 07:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 20:45 Cunano Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 15:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 19:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 18:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2018 09:15 Umipaa United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 15:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kawailoa Camp United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kawailoa Beach United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Waimea United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Pupukea United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Waialee United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kawela Bay United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Marconi United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kahuku United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Laie United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Hauula United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Punaluu United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kaaawa United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kahana United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Hoolehua United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kualapuu United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 21:45 Kalaupapa United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 19:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 19:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Halena United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Wahilauhue United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Kepuhi United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Mauna Loa United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Moomomi United States  0.1

Calculation folder at this link