Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LESLIE-18
in Portugal

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LESLIE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (26 Sep 12:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 0 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 126 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

126 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Sep 2018 12:00 132 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2018 18:00 142 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Sep 2018 00:00 153 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Sep 2018 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Sep 2018 12:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2018 18:00 152 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Sep 2018 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Sep 2018 06:00 125 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Sep 2018 12:00 131 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Sep 2018 12:00 131 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Sep 2018 00:00 131 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Dominion, Canada. This height is estimated for 26 Sep 2018 12:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Sep 2018 12:15 Dominion Canada  1.1
26 Sep 2018 12:15 Glace Bay Canada  1.1
26 Sep 2018 12:15 Homeville Canada  1.1
26 Sep 2018 12:15 Port Morien Canada  1.1
26 Sep 2018 12:15 Donkin Canada  1.1
27 Sep 2018 09:30 New Waterford Canada  0.7
27 Sep 2018 09:15 Louisbourg Canada  0.7
27 Sep 2018 09:15 Main-a-Dieu Canada  0.7
25 Sep 2018 22:45 Arichat Canada  0.5
25 Sep 2018 22:45 D'Escousse Canada  0.5
25 Sep 2018 22:45 Petit-de-Grat Canada  0.5
25 Sep 2018 22:45 Saint Peters Canada  0.5
27 Sep 2018 10:00 Canso Canada  0.4
27 Sep 2018 10:00 L'Ardoise Canada  0.4
27 Sep 2018 09:15 Gabarus Canada  0.4
27 Sep 2018 09:15 Mira Canada  0.4
28 Sep 2018 08:00 Soldiers Cove Canada  0.3
27 Sep 2018 10:00 Grand River Canada  0.3
27 Sep 2018 09:15 Fourchu Canada  0.2
26 Sep 2018 20:15 Faja Grande Portugal  0.2