Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (07 Aug 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.5 m 431 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 588 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Aug 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 03 Aug 2021 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 04 Aug 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 04 Aug 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 05 Aug 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 05 Aug 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 06 Aug 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 06 Aug 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico19,701 
100-250 mmMexico2,365,873 
50-100 mmMexico2,698,175 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 433 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 299 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 224 90 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 265 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Aug 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Aug 2021 00:00 280 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 02 Aug 2021 12:00 344 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Aug 2021 00:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 03 Aug 2021 12:00 298 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 04 Aug 2021 00:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 04 Aug 2021 12:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 05 Aug 2021 00:00 235 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 05 Aug 2021 12:00 208 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 06 Aug 2021 00:00 221 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 06 Aug 2021 12:00 431 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Aug 2021 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Aug 2021 15:00 San Jose Mexico  0.5
07 Aug 2021 15:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.5
07 Aug 2021 15:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.5
07 Aug 2021 14:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 15:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 15:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:30 Loreto Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:30 Ligui Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:45 Mulege Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:30 Tripui Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:45 Liliba Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
07 Aug 2021 14:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2021 14:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 08:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 08:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2021 14:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2021 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 11:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 11:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 11:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2021 14:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2021 22:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2021 07:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:30 Rosario Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 22:30 La Florida Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 22:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2021 08:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 La Paz Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2021 14:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 22:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 La Lima Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 21:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 21:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 21:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 08:45 Chamela Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2021 07:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
30 Jul 2021 22:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
30 Jul 2021 22:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2021 22:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2021 22:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 07:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 07:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 09:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 17:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 17:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 17:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 17:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 21:45 Corrales Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 21:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:15 Ipala Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:30 Cunano Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 22:00 Barron Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2021 21:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 08:30 Chola Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:30 El Tule Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 22:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2021 12:45 Pizota Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2021 05:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2021 06:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2021 07:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2021 07:15 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2021 07:30 San Lucas Mexico  0.1