Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ANA-22
in Mozambique, Malawi, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar, Zimbabwe
26 Jan 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries South Africa
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (26 Jan 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.4 m 54 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 97 km/h 0.8 m 508 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSouth Africa157 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Jan 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 2 23 Jan 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 3 24 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Jan 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Jan 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Jan 2022 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Jan 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Jan 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Jan 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Jan 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Jan 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Jan 2022 18:00 68 -
- - - - - South Africa
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Malawi, South Africa, Eswatini654,128
+
Tanzania15,013 
Malawi137,280 
Mozambique338,565 
Eswatini68,021 
South Africa95,248 
50-100 mmDemocratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique, Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Eswatini, South Africa17,727,784
+
Democratic Republic of the Congo144,000 
Tanzania2,544,646 
Malawi7,717,771 
Zambia1,038,062 
Mozambique4,895,125 
Madagascar176,636 
Zimbabwe523,215 
Angola26,757 
Namibia378 
Botswana1,785 
Eswatini244,851 
South Africa414,552 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Jan 2022 12:00 121 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 2 23 Jan 2022 18:00 181 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 3 24 Jan 2022 00:00 131 50 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 4 24 Jan 2022 06:00 102 40 thousand
- - - - Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi
Blue 5 24 Jan 2022 12:00 137 520 thousand
- - - - Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar
Blue 6 24 Jan 2022 18:00 177 740 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar
Blue 7 25 Jan 2022 00:00 128 Few people
- - - - Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar
Blue 8 25 Jan 2022 06:00 78 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Zimbabwe
Blue 9 25 Jan 2022 12:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Jan 2022 18:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Jan 2022 00:00 69 -
- - - - - Zimbabwe, Mozambique
Blue 12 26 Jan 2022 06:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Jan 2022 12:00 61 -
- - - - - Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mozambique
Blue 14 26 Jan 2022 18:00 312 650 thousand
- - - - Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique, Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Eswatini, South Africa




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Metambanhe, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 26 Jan 2022 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Jan 2022 21:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.4
26 Jan 2022 21:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.4
26 Jan 2022 21:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.4
26 Jan 2022 19:15 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
26 Jan 2022 19:15 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Boanamary Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.3
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Manica Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Natalia Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 19:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 19:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Beira Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Jo Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 21:45 Vila Luisa Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 21:45 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 21:45 Linchica Mozambique  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 19:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 19:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.2
26 Jan 2022 18:15 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Catine Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:15 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:15 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 22:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 22:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 22:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 22:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:45 Maziba Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:45 Aiai Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:45 Cimbene Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:45 Canhamba Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 22:30 Catembe Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 22:30 Maputo Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 22:30 Joannisse Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 19:15 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:15 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:45 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 22:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:15 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:15 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:15 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Onara Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Sezela South Africa  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Naidooville South Africa  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Park Rynie South Africa  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Umkomaas South Africa  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Chichocane Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:00 China Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Uetela Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Tsinjorano Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 22:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Salale Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 19:30 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:30 Bambe Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:30 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:30 Afo Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:45 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 20:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:30 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 18:45 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Xolobeni South Africa  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Ebenezer South Africa  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Port Edward South Africa  0.1
26 Jan 2022 21:30 Bushyvales South Africa  0.1