Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (28 Sep 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.3 m 307 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 0.3 m 341 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala247,384
+
Mexico147,877 
Guatemala99,507 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador3,640,344
+
United States02 
Mexico1,210,138 
Guatemala2,265,761 
El Salvador164,441 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 352 250 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Progreso, Mexico. This height is estimated for 28 Sep 2022 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Sep 2022 16:00 Progreso Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2022 15:00 Happy Jack United States  0.3
28 Sep 2022 15:00 Potash United States  0.3
28 Sep 2022 15:00 Hesperides United States  0.3
28 Sep 2022 15:00 Nairn United States  0.3
28 Sep 2022 15:00 Empire United States  0.3
28 Sep 2022 17:00 Guerrero Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 17:00 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 17:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 15:45 Chelem Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:00 Sisal Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Frenier United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Ruddock United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:00 La Branche United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Kenner United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Metairie United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 22:00 Cameron United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 22:00 Oak Grove United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 22:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 21:45 Constance Beach United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 21:45 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 21:45 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:30 Martello Castle United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:30 Shell Beach United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:30 Alluvial City United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:30 Yscloskey United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:30 Hopedale United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:30 Saint Malo United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 22:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 23:45 Sabine United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 23:45 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:15 Oak Ridge Park United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:15 West End United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:15 Lakeview United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:15 Lake Terrace United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 19:15 Campeche Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:00 Port Isabel United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:00 South Padre Island United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 16:00 Boca Chica United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Stinson Beach United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Muir Beach United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Mill Valley United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Almonte United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Marin City United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Strawberry United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Corte Madera United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Sunset District United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Rockaway Beach United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Sausalito United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Edgemar United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Broadmoor United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Paradise Cay United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Stonestown United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Pacifica United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Richmond District United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Daly City United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Westborough United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Tiburon United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Belvedere United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Colma United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Baden United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Little Osaka United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 San Bruno United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Fort McDowell United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 San Francisco United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Bayshore United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 South San Francisco United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 North Beach United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Tanforan United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Millbrae United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Brisbane United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Bayview District United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Indianola United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Olivia United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 15:00 Cocodrie United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 17:15 Valton Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 17:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 17:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2022 17:00 Conejo Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Smith Point United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Flake United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Patton United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Caplen United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:30 Gentilly Terrace United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:30 Camp Leroy Johnson United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 20:30 Seabrook United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 22:15 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
28 Sep 2022 22:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 22:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 High Island United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Champoton Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Galveston United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Noham Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Victoria Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Balchacah Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 19:45 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Texas City United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 San Leon United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Palacios United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Nadeau United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 22:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:45 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 17:30 City Arroyo United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 17:30 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 17:30 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Bayview United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Bacliff United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Woodville United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Bolinas United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Kentfield United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Larkspur United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Green Brae United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 San Quentin United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:00 Neyac Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 15:15 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:15 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 21:45 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Estes United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Rockport United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Fulton United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 20:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 20:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 16:45 Chef Menteur United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 16:45 Greens Ditch United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 16:45 Lake Catherine United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 21:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 21:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 22:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Matagorda United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Chinquapin United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Quintana United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Surfside United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Mims United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 00:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 19:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 19:45 Carancahua United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 19:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Freeport United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 14:30 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 14:30 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 19:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 22:30 Huntington Park United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 22:30 Lee United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 22:30 Little Woods United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 22:30 South Point United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Gulf Park United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Terra Linda United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Marinwood United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Gallinas United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 18:15 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 16:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 16:15 Salinas Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 14:45 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 21:15 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 North Beach United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Doyle United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Portland United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Gregory United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
28 Sep 2022 14:30 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 19:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 17:30 Buena Vista United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 20:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 22:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 22:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
28 Sep 2022 19:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 14:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:30 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:30 San Pedro United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:30 Wilmington United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:30 Signal Hill United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:30 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:30 Surfside United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:30 Seal Beach United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:30 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Summerland United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Rincon United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Shepards United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Punta United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Faria United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Dulah United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Ventura United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 13:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
28 Sep 2022 15:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 15:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
28 Sep 2022 23:00 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.1