Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
29 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (29 Sep 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 132 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 0.3 m 341 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala58,727
+
Mexico57,978 
Guatemala748 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador3,571,025
+
United States28 
Mexico970,291 
Guatemala2,502,221 
El Salvador98,484 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 307 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 259 60 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Bayview, United States. This height is estimated for 29 Sep 2022 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Bayview United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Bacliff United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Nadeau United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Texas City Junction United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Bayou Vista United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 San Leon United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Texas City United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Anderson Ways United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Virginia Point United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Galveston United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Port Bolivar United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Fort Travis United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Flake United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 12:30 Smith Point United States  0.3
29 Sep 2022 12:15 Elmgrove United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:15 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:15 Patton United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Caplen United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 High Island United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Victoria Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:45 Balchacah Mexico  0.2
30 Sep 2022 00:00 City Arroyo United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Port Morris United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Sea Isle United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Hitchcock United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Sabine United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 15:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 15:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 15:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 13:00 Red Bluff United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 13:00 Seabrook United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 21:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 21:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 21:00 Conejo Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Quintana United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Surfside United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Mims United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Tecojate Guatemala  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:30 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Sipacate Guatemala  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:00 San Pedro Guatemala  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Freeport United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 22:45 Acajutla El Salvador  0.2
29 Sep 2022 22:45 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 15:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 22:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 15:30 Arista Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:15 Frenier United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:15 Ruddock United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:15 La Branche United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:15 Kenner United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:15 Metairie United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Webster United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Clear Lake City United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Nassau Bay United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Kilkare United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Lakeside United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Taylor Lake United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 La Porte United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 El Lago United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Kemah United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Shoreacres United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Bayside Terrace United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Todville United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Morgan's Point United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Morgan Point United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Baytown United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Pelly United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Cedar Point United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Beach City United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Matagorda United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Chinquapin United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 22:45 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 22:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:15 La Avellana Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:15 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Palacios United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 El Pumpo Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Indianola United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Olivia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 La Candelaria Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 22:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Cameron United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:00 Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:45 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 23:30 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Oak Ridge Park United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 West End United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Lakeview United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Lake Terrace United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 19:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 15:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 15:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 15:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 19:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:30 Oak Grove United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:45 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Estes United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Rockport United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Fulton United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 16:00 Martello Castle United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 16:00 Shell Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 16:00 Alluvial City United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 16:00 Yscloskey United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 16:00 Hopedale United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 16:00 Saint Malo United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 22:45 Maudlowe United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 22:45 Tivoli United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 22:45 Spanish Village United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 22:45 Austwell United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 22:45 Seadrift United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Lamar United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 19:30 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 19:30 Boca Chica United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 14:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Gentilly Terrace United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Camp Leroy Johnson United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Seabrook United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 North Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Doyle United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Portland United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 20:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Happy Jack United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Potash United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Hesperides United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Nairn United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Empire United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 22:45 Gregory United States  0.1