Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
04 Oct 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (05 Oct 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 203 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 0.3 m 341 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Oct 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Oct 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Oct 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Oct 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 03 Oct 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 11 03 Oct 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 12 04 Oct 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala873,455
+
Mexico831,309 
Guatemala42,146 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 307 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Sep 2022 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 30 Sep 2022 12:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Oct 2022 00:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Oct 2022 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Oct 2022 00:00 152 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 9 02 Oct 2022 12:00 213 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 03 Oct 2022 00:00 195 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 11 03 Oct 2022 12:00 172 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 12 04 Oct 2022 00:00 279 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Oct 2022 12:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Campeche Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 03:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
06 Oct 2022 03:30 Victoria Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 12:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 19:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Balchacah Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 San Pedro United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Wilmington United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Signal Hill United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Surfside United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Seal Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:15 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 03:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 City Arroyo United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 11:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:00 Neyac Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:45 El Roble Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 20:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 01:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 01:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:30 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:30 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:30 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:30 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:30 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
04 Oct 2022 20:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 La Candelaria Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 El Pumpo Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 La Avellana Guatemala  0.1
04 Oct 2022 06:15 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
04 Oct 2022 06:15 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
04 Oct 2022 06:15 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Mission United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Montecito United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Summerland United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Serena Park United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Carpinteria United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Rincon United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Shepards United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Punta United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 11:30 La Choya Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Faria United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Dulah United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:45 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:30 La Playa Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 13:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:15 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:15 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:15 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 Roseville United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 San Diego United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 Coronado United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:45 Boal United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 09:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:45 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Coromar United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Isla Vista United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Goleta United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Woodville United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Bolinas United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Muir Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Kentfield United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Mill Valley United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Larkspur United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Almonte United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Green Brae United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Marin City United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Strawberry United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Corte Madera United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Sunset District United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Sausalito United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 San Quentin United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Broadmoor United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Stonestown United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Richmond District United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Daly City United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Tiburon United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Belvedere United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Colma United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Little Osaka United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:15 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:15 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:30 Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
04 Oct 2022 18:45 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
04 Oct 2022 18:45 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Capitan United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Naples United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Ventura United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Tajiguas United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 21:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:00 Valton Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 07:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 07:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 07:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 07:15 Indianola United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 07:15 Olivia United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 07:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 07:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 07:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 07:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Newport Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Bay Shores United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Balboa United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:45 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:45 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:45 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:45 Champoton Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:15 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Las Flores United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Castellammare United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Santa Monica United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Sawtelle United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Alsace United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 El Segundo United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Clifton United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Oxnard United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Terra Linda United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Marinwood United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Gallinas United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:45 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Las Cruces United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Gaviota United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Lento United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:30 La Majada Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Edgemar United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Pacifica United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Westborough United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Baden United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 San Bruno United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 San Francisco United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Bayshore United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 South San Francisco United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 North Beach United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Tanforan United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Millbrae United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Brisbane United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Bayview District United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:30 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Estes United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Rockport United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:15 Fulton United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Sacate United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 14:45 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:30 Constance Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:30 Holly Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:45 Sabine United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:45 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:15 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 North Beach United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 Doyle United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 Portland United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 Gregory United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 02:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:45 Noham Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 04:45 Cameron United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Sycamore United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Solromar United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Concepcion United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 San Augustine United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 05:15 Oak Grove United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 06:00 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.1