Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
03 Oct 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Oct 20:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 112 km/h 0.2 m 195 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 0.3 m 341 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 7 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico7,203 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Oct 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Oct 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Oct 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Oct 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 03 Oct 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico777,342 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala1,590,083
+
Mexico1,425,170 
Guatemala164,912 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 307 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Sep 2022 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 30 Sep 2022 12:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Oct 2022 00:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Oct 2022 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Oct 2022 00:00 152 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 9 02 Oct 2022 12:00 213 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 03 Oct 2022 00:00 447 780 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Novillero, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Oct 2022 20:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Oct 2022 20:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 22:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 21:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 20:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 20:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 20:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 20:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 20:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 21:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 20:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 22:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 20:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 21:15 Barron Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 03:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 03:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 11:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 17:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 07:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 07:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 04:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 04:00 Victoria Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 21:45 La Choya Mexico  0.2
05 Oct 2022 21:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
03 Oct 2022 01:45 City Arroyo United States  0.2
03 Oct 2022 01:45 Port Mansfield United States  0.2
03 Oct 2022 01:45 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
04 Oct 2022 22:30 Campeche Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 11:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 11:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:45 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
05 Oct 2022 02:45 Balchacah Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 03:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:45 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:45 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:45 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 00:30 La Playa Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 06:00 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 06:00 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 06:00 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:15 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:15 Champoton Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:15 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 01:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:45 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:15 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:15 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 01:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
04 Oct 2022 03:45 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 03:15 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:45 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:45 Noham Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Montecito United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Summerland United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Serena Park United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Rincon United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Shepards United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Punta United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Faria United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Dulah United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 20:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:45 La Avellana Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:45 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:45 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 21:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2022 00:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Ventura United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:30 La Majada Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 19:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 06:30 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 06:30 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 12:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:15 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:30 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Muir Beach United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Mill Valley United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Almonte United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Marin City United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Strawberry United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Corte Madera United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Sunset District United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Sausalito United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Edgemar United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Broadmoor United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Stonestown United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Pacifica United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Richmond District United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Daly City United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Westborough United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Tiburon United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Belvedere United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Colma United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Baden United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Little Osaka United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 San Bruno United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 San Francisco United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Bayshore United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 South San Francisco United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 North Beach United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Tanforan United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Millbrae United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Brisbane United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Bayview District United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Oxnard United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Signal Hill United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Surfside United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Seal Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Newport Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Bay Shores United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:00 Balboa United States  0.1
06 Oct 2022 00:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:30 Mission United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 17:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 22:45 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 01:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 01:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 01:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 23:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:15 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Neyac Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 Woodville United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 Bolinas United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 Kentfield United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 Terra Linda United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 Marinwood United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 Larkspur United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 Green Brae United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 Gallinas United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 08:00 San Quentin United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Azure Vista United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Mission Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Roseville United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Loma Portal United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 San Diego United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Coronado United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 18:30 Boal United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Las Flores United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Castellammare United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Santa Monica United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Sawtelle United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Alsace United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 El Segundo United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Clifton United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 13:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 13:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Coromar United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Isla Vista United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:15 Goleta United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:30 Point Dume United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:30 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:30 El Nido United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:30 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:30 Malibu United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 19:30 Monte Nido United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 16:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1