Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KOMPASU-21
in Viet Nam, Laos, China, Philippines
13 Oct 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KOMPASU-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries China, Taiwan, Vietnam, Paracel Islands
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.4 m (13 Oct 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 2.4 m 87 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 119 km/h 2.4 m 688 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

119 km/h

Up to 6.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormChina, Taiwan, Vietnam, Paracel Islands6,858,521
+
China6,847,986 
Taiwan3,892 
Vietnam6,364 
Paracel Islands278 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Oct 2021 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 2 10 Oct 2021 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 3 10 Oct 2021 18:00 119 -
- - - - - China, Taiwan, Japan, Philippines
GREEN 4 11 Oct 2021 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Taiwan, China, Japan, Philippines
GREEN 5 11 Oct 2021 06:00 97 -
- - - - - China, Taiwan, Japan, Philippines
GREEN 6 11 Oct 2021 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Taiwan, China, Japan, Philippines
GREEN 7 11 Oct 2021 18:00 101 -
- - - - - China, Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 8 12 Oct 2021 00:00 108 -
- - - - - China, Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 9 12 Oct 2021 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Taiwan, China, Philippines
GREEN 10 12 Oct 2021 12:00 97 -
- - - - - China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Paracel Islands
GREEN 11 12 Oct 2021 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Hong Kong, China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 12 13 Oct 2021 00:00 108 -
- - - - - China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 13 13 Oct 2021 06:00 90 -
- - - - - China, Taiwan, Vietnam, Paracel Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMyanmar, Thailand151,447
+
Myanmar103,646 
Thailand47,800 
100-250 mmChina, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Myanmar, Cambodia, India21,939,086
+
China4,883,843 
Myanmar1,543,391 
India6,928 
Taiwan268,180 
Vietnam11,204,077 
Philippines369 
Laos84,454 
Thailand3,564,247 
Cambodia383,592 
50-100 mmChina, Myanmar, India, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Palau97,933,616
+
China20,179,724 
Myanmar12,170,189 
India352,104 
Taiwan1,954,463 
Vietnam35,406,885 
Philippines3,458,473 
Laos1,505,338 
Thailand20,510,495 
Cambodia2,393,122 
Palau2,817 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Oct 2021 06:00 92 -
- - - - - Vietnam, China
Blue 2 10 Oct 2021 12:00 134 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 3 10 Oct 2021 18:00 156 270 thousand
- - - - China, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos
Blue 4 11 Oct 2021 00:00 138 430 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos
Blue 5 11 Oct 2021 06:00 198 1.6 million
- - - - Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines
Blue 6 11 Oct 2021 12:00 262 1.7 million
- - - Taiwan, Philippines, Thailand, Laos
Blue 7 11 Oct 2021 18:00 157 1.2 million
- - - - Taiwan, Philippines
Blue 8 12 Oct 2021 00:00 256 360 thousand
- - - Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia, Myanmar
Blue 9 12 Oct 2021 06:00 151 80 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 10 12 Oct 2021 12:00 136 3 thousand
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 11 12 Oct 2021 18:00 150 -
- - - - - China, Paracel Islands, Philippines, Cambodia, Thailand
Blue 12 13 Oct 2021 00:00 251 -
- - - - - China, Macao
Blue 13 13 Oct 2021 06:00 349 22.1 million
- - - China, Myanmar, India, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Palau




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

2.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC