Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
18 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (18 Sep 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h n.a. 211 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 180 km/h n.a. 565 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

180 km/h

Up to 3.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCanada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.3,885,863
+
Canada172 
Turks and Caicos Islands2,439 
Dominican Republic492,308 
Puerto Rico3,279,067 
British Virgin Islands5,584 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 86 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada, Other countries
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 86 -
- - - - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada, Saint Kitts and Nevis
GREEN 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada, Saba
GREEN 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Canada, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 104 -
- - - - - British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 166 -
- - - - - Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPuerto Rico586,831 
100-250 mmDominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Venezuela, Colombia4,683,837
+
Dominican Republic1,496,953 
Puerto Rico3,096,406 
Virgin Islands, U.S.20,357 
Venezuela11,865 
Colombia58,254 
50-100 mmCanada, United States, Dominican Republic, Haiti, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Venezuela, Colombia, Panama13,007,517
+
Canada200,615 
United States283,372 
Dominican Republic4,812,366 
Haiti36,208 
British Virgin Islands23,772 
Virgin Islands, U.S.85,933 
Venezuela2,035,049 
Colombia3,661,667 
Panama1,868,531 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 53 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 27 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 155 80 thousand
- - - - Antigua and Barbuda
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Montserrat
Blue 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 70 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 160 -
- - - - - Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 192 60 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 384 5.3 million
- - - Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Venezuela, Colombia, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC