Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
22 Sep 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda
Exposed population 70 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 158 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (22 Sep 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 158 km/h n.a. 135 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 180 km/h n.a. 565 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

180 km/h

Up to 70 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Canada, Bermuda73,003
+
Canada10,999 
Bermuda62,003 
Tropical StormCanada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon754,368
+
Canada748,080 
Saint Pierre and Miquelon6,288 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 86 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada, Other countries
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 86 -
- - - - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada, Saint Kitts and Nevis
GREEN 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada, Saba
GREEN 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Canada, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 104 -
- - - - - British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 18 18 Sep 2022 18:00 115 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 19 19 Sep 2022 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Canada, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 20 19 Sep 2022 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 21 19 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 22 19 Sep 2022 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic
GREEN 23 20 Sep 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic
GREEN 24 20 Sep 2022 06:00 122 Few people
- - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
ORANGE 25 20 Sep 2022 12:00 144 7 thousand
- - - - Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 26 20 Sep 2022 18:00 155 2 thousand
- - - - Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 27 21 Sep 2022 00:00 180 -
- - - - - Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 28 21 Sep 2022 06:00 166 -
- - - - - Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 29 21 Sep 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 21 Sep 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 22 Sep 2022 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 22 Sep 2022 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 22 Sep 2022 12:00 158 -
- - - - - Venezuela
GREEN 34 22 Sep 2022 18:00 191 70 thousand
- - - - Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmCanada639,385 
50-100 mmCanada, United States, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Panama, Colombia2,593,622
+
Canada614,209 
United States378,921 
Dominican Republic1,151,456 
Haiti28,687 
Panama278,019 
Colombia142,327 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 53 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 27 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 155 80 thousand
- - - - Antigua and Barbuda
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Montserrat
Blue 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 70 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 160 -
- - - - - Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 192 60 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 211 2.4 million
- - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 18 18 Sep 2022 18:00 131 690 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico
Blue 19 19 Sep 2022 00:00 110 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 20 19 Sep 2022 06:00 122 320 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic
Blue 21 19 Sep 2022 12:00 134 20 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic
Blue 22 19 Sep 2022 18:00 125 -
- - - - - United States, Dominican Republic, Venezuela
Blue 23 20 Sep 2022 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 20 Sep 2022 06:00 133 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 25 20 Sep 2022 12:00 159 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 26 20 Sep 2022 18:00 162 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 27 21 Sep 2022 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 21 Sep 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 21 Sep 2022 12:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 21 Sep 2022 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 22 Sep 2022 00:00 154 6 thousand
- - - - Venezuela
Blue 32 22 Sep 2022 06:00 148 10 thousand
- - - - Venezuela
Blue 33 22 Sep 2022 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 22 Sep 2022 18:00 268 640 thousand
- - - - Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Panama, Colombia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.2 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC